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14:08 Thirsk

British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £5,400 · Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    North Force (IRE)
    Warren Fentiman·Richard & Peter Fahey
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lord d'Or (GER)
    P J McDonald·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.2 lengths
    10/11F·1.91
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Steel Raven (IRE)
    Mikey Sheehy·Adrian Paul Keatley·beaten 5.5 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
Race time
1m 40.98s+4.28s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (North Force (IRE))

Raced in touch - driven to the front over 1f out - challenged in the final furlong - held on narrowly

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Lord d'Or

Lord d'Or stood out when going close in a competitive York novice on his second start, beaten less than a length, and that performance marks him as the clear standout here. Steel Raven caught the eye on his Carlisle debut behind two useful sorts and represents the main threat, with Prince Of Calypso consistent across both starts and the well-bred Woheela earning significant market respect on debut. Lord d'Or is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Fozzie

Top-rated of 8
score 50.3 · +2.0 clear of next best (48.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    58average
    Last 6: 7-2-2-3-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 77 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    15weak
    Kevin Ryan: 2/36 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.82
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.04
High (8–10)
IV 1.16

Today: Fozzie (draw 10) and North Force (draw 9) get the bias; Steel Raven (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
3yo · C · bpFT P
32328
7748.3
3/1·4.00
SP
25
J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1
3yo · C · b
62
27.7
10/11F·1.91
SP
38
3yo · G · ch
3
34.5
17/2·9.50
SP
410
J: Tom Marquand · T: Ed Walker · draw 6
3yo · F · btFT T
19.0
4/1·5.00
SP
52
J: Cam Hardie · T: Adam Nicol · draw 5
6yo · M · ch
56
23.2
250/1·251.00
SP
63
J: Harry Davies · T: Michael Appleby · draw 8
3yo · G · b
66
18.5
100/1·101.00
SP
77
J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Edward Bethell · draw 7
3yo · G · b
33
29.5
8/1·9.00
SP
81
J: David Nolan · T: Lawrence Mullaney · draw 4
5yo · G · b
0
19.5
200/1·201.00
SP
J: · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 10
3yo · G · b
72234
7750.3
J: NON-RUNNER · T: Saeed bin Suroor · draw 2
3yo · F · b
15.0

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:08 Thirsk on 1 July 2026?

North Force (IRE) won the 14:08 Thirsk at SP 4.00. Ridden by Warren Fentiman. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:08 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Fozzie) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 14:08 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. North Force (IRE) (4.00), 2. Lord d'Or (GER) (1.91), 3. Steel Raven (IRE) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:08 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 40.98s, 4.28s slower than standard.

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