Who won the 13:08 Thirsk on 1 July 2026?
Kodiak Breeze (IRE) won the 13:08 Thirsk at SP 2.50. Ridden by Shane Gray. Trained by Kevin Ryan.
13:08 Thirsk
British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £4,320 · Wednesday, 1 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 6/4·2.50Race report
- 1stKodiak Breeze (IRE)AI top pick · 55.0Shane Gray·Kevin Ryan6/4·2.50SP
- 2ndLocation Location (GB)Kaiya Fraser·James Fanshawe·beaten .5 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdPossessive (GB)Jack Nicholls·K R Burke·beaten 1.25 lengths5/6F·1.83SP
Race time
1m 11.46s+2.76s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Kodiak Breeze (IRE))
“Set the pace throughout - challenged and pressed over 1f out - held on”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Possessive
Possessive found a significant rise in class on his most recent start too demanding, but dropping back into a more appropriate sphere today with a trainer renowned for handling juveniles gives him a strong platform to deliver; he acts at this trip on today's going and should be sharper for the experience. Kodiak Breeze represents the clear danger after taking a maiden in convincing fashion on his latest start and is entitled to respect under a penalty. Possessive is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Kodiak Breeze
Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 55.0 · +3.7 clear of next best (51.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight93very strongLast 6: 2-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong44d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75
- Trainer20% weight15weakKevin Ryan: 2/36 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Thirsk 6f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.73
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.08
High (9–12)
IV 1.22
Today: Possessive (draw 11) and Neverbeatdeswalker (draw 10) get the bias; Location Location (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5 2yo · G · b | 21 | 75 | 55.0 | 6/4·2.50 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: James Fanshawe · draw 3 2yo · G · bhFT H | 53 | — | 28.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: K R Burke · draw 11 2yo · C · b | 17 | 83 | 51.3 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 6 2yo · C · b | — | — | 23.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 12 2yo · G · b | 0 | — | 18.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 8 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 21.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 12 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 2 2yo · F · b | — | — | 17.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 2yo · G · b | — | — | 23.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Mark Winn · T: Paul Midgley · draw 4 2yo · G · b | — | — | 19.0 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 10 | 11 | J: Sam James · T: Geoffrey Harker · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 7 | — | 25.5 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 11 | 6 | J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 9 2yo · C · b | — | — | 19.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: · T: Mark Walford · draw 10 2yo · G · br | 7 | — | 20.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:08 Thirsk?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Kodiak Breeze, won the race (AI score 55.0).
What were the placings in the 13:08 Thirsk?
Top finishers: 1. Kodiak Breeze (IRE) (2.50), 2. Location Location (GB) (12.00), 3. Possessive (GB) (1.83).
What was the winning time for the 13:08 Thirsk?
The winning time was 1m 11.46s, 2.76s slower than standard.
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