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RacingAlpha

15:10 Thirsk

David Lever Memorial Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £3,926 · Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Saucy Jane (GB)
    Sam James·Jack Morland
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Celtic Arrow (FR)
    Ryan Sexton·Julie Camacho·beaten 0.3 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Simba's Pride (GB)
    Mark Winn·Michael Dods·beaten 0.3 lengths
    100/30F·4.33
    SP
Race time
1m 9.73s+1.03s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Saucy Jane (GB))

Chased the leaders - driven over 1f out - took up the running 1f out - came under pressure final 110yds - held on comfortably

AI top-rated Go Lockers Go (score 53.0) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Concert

Concert holds an advantage in our ratings and shaped with considerable promise last time, finishing a close third off a mark 1lb above today's; a noted jockey booking adds to her credentials. King's Road Dandy, stepping up into handicap company for the first time, looks the main danger on potential, while Saucy Jane, back on faster ground, and Liverpool Star are both respected. Concert is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Go Lockers Go

Daniel Tudhope · Michael Bell · 3yo

Top-rated of 11
score 53.0 · +1.7 clear of next best (51.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    83very strong
    Last 6: 4-1-1-2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    15weak
    Michael Bell: 1/18 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.73
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.08
High (9–12)
IV 1.22

Today: Simba's Pride (draw 9) and Masai Angel (draw 10) get the bias; Go Lockers Go (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Sam James · T: Jack Morland · draw 6
3yo · F · bp
458426
7041.2
11/2·6.50
SP
29
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 8
3yo · F · ch
342
6651.3
20/1·21.00
SP
37
J: Mark Winn · T: Michael Dods · draw 9
3yo · G · ch
712154
6846.8
100/30F·4.33
SP
46
3yo · G · b
343145
6850.0
9/1·10.00
SP
53
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Michael Bell · draw 2
3yo · G · bh
41122
7053.0
11/2·6.50
SP
68
3yo · G · b
358
6739.8
12/1·13.00
SP
712
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7
3yo · G · bt
54371
5845.8
9/2·5.50
SP
81
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 11
3yo · G · bp
32045
7043.6
15/2·8.50
SP
911
J: David Allan · T: Craig Lidster · draw 12
3yo · F · b
55670
6236.5
25/1·26.00
SP
1010
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 10
3yo · G · b
543
6545.7
18/1·19.00
SP
114
J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 5
3yo · G · bv
26810
6942.8
12/1·13.00
SP
J: · T: Jack Channon · draw 1
3yo · F · grt
36403
6944.6

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:10 Thirsk on 1 July 2026?

Saucy Jane (GB) won the 15:10 Thirsk at SP 6.50. Ridden by Sam James. Trained by Jack Morland.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:10 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Go Lockers Go) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 15:10 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Saucy Jane (GB) (6.50), 2. Celtic Arrow (FR) (21.00), 3. Simba's Pride (GB) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 15:10 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 9.73s, 1.03s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org