Who won the 19:25 Newbury on 2 July 2026?
Alaskan Bear (IRE) won the 19:25 Newbury at SP 1.67. Ridden by Hector Crouch. Trained by Jack W Davison.
19:25 Newbury
Fidelity Energy Green Future Novice Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £6,480 · Thursday, 2 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stAlaskan Bear (IRE)Hector Crouch·Jack W Davison4/6F·1.67SP
- 2ndJimtrott (IRE)AI top pick · 29.1Charles Bishop·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten 4 lengths100/30·4.33SP
- 3rdShakwaa (GB)Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker·beaten 1.5 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
1m 11.50s+1.00s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Alaskan Bear (IRE))
“drifted left leaving the stalls - made the running for most of the way - pushed along 2f out - two lengths to the good approaching the final furlong - ran on strongly to prevail”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Alaskan Bear
Alaskan Bear brings the best form credentials here, having gone fourth in a Group 3 at the Curragh on his second start — a performance whose worth has been underlined since — and looks the one to beat stepping down in grade. Jimtrott ran the favourite close on debut at this track and is a serious threat; Tumishi and the well-bred newcomers Shakwaa and Pride Of Toledo make this an open race, but Alaskan Bear is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Jimtrott
Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 29.1 · +1.6 clear of next best (27.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight78strongLast 6: 2
- Trainer20% weight18weakEve Johnson Houghton: 2/27 winners last 14d (7%)
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newbury 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.00
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.93
High (9–11)
IV 1.07
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Jack W Davison · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 24 | — | 19.7 | 4/6F·1.67 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 2 | — | 29.1 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 2yo · C · b | — | — | 19.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 1 2yo · C · b | — | — | 18.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: David Probert · T: Clive Cox · draw 2 2yo · C · b | — | — | 25.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 7 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 19.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 9 2yo · C · br | — | — | 24.0 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 10 2yo · C · b | — | — | 19.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: David Egan · T: Emma Lavelle · draw 11 2yo · G · b | — | — | 15.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 10 | 2 | J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 5 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 20.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Tom Marquand · T: James Fanshawe · draw 3 2yo · C · gr | 4 | — | 27.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:25 Newbury?
No — the AI top pick (Jimtrott) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 19:25 Newbury?
Top finishers: 1. Alaskan Bear (IRE) (1.67), 2. Jimtrott (IRE) (4.33), 3. Shakwaa (GB) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:25 Newbury?
The winning time was 1m 11.50s, 1.00s slower than standard.
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