Who won the 15:09 Yarmouth on 2 July 2026?
Nabati (IRE) won the 15:09 Yarmouth at SP 1.22. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Charlie Appleby.
15:09 Yarmouth
Weatherbys EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 2 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stNabati (IRE)William Buick·Charlie Appleby2/9F·1.22SP
- 2ndCan't Stop (GB)AI top pick · 23.0Saffie Osborne·Richard Spencer·beaten 1.25 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdSovereign Dawn (IRE)Kyle McHugh·Michael Keady·beaten 3.25 lengths66/1·67.00SP
Race time
1m 12.88s+4.38s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Nabati (IRE))
“Held up towards the rear - made headway with 2f to run - swept into the lead approaching the final furlong - asserted and ran out a comfortable winner”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Shoof
Shoof arrives here with the benefit of racecourse experience and, while his debut at Goodwood was modest, a step up in distance gives him every opportunity to show his true ability. Can't Stop and Nabati make their first starts and both hold strong pedigree credentials — Nabati in particular cost 850,000gns and has a very smart half-brother at six furlongs — but Shoof is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Can't Stop
Saffie Osborne · Richard Spencer · 2yo
Top-rated of 4
score 23.0 · +1.5 clear of next best (21.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight50averageLast 6: first run
- Freshness10% weight50averageno recent-run data
- Trainer20% weight40below averageRichard Spencer: 3/19 winners last 14d (16%)
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Yarmouth 6f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.37
Mid (3–3)
IV 0.88
High (4–4)
IV 0.70
Today: Shoof (draw 1) and Sovereign Dawn (draw 2) get the bias; Nabati (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 146 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 4 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 21.5 | 2/9F·1.22 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 3 2yo · C · gr | — | — | 23.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Kyle McHugh(7) · T: Michael Keady · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 0 | — | 8.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 1 2yo · C · bhFT H | 5 | — | 20.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:09 Yarmouth?
No — the AI top pick (Can't Stop) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:09 Yarmouth?
Top finishers: 1. Nabati (IRE) (1.22), 2. Can't Stop (GB) (5.00), 3. Sovereign Dawn (IRE) (67.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:09 Yarmouth?
The winning time was 1m 12.88s, 4.38s slower than standard.
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