Who won the 15:10 Doncaster on 3 July 2026?
Dyonisos (FR) won the 15:10 Doncaster at SP 4.00. Ridden by Edward Greatrex. Trained by Ian Williams.
15:10 Doncaster
Believe Money Group Handicap
5f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £9,631 · Friday, 3 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 3/1F·4.00Race report
- 1stDyonisos (FR)AI top pick · 51.7Edward Greatrex·Ian Williams3/1F·4.00SP
- 2ndEmerald Harmony (IRE)David Nolan·Paul Midgley·beaten .75 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdPaddy's Day (IRE)Alex Jary·Nigel Tinkler·beaten .5 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
58.84s+1.24s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Dyonisos (FR))
“Tracked leaders - travelling well but waiting for a gap 1f out - quickened when clear - led inside final 110yds and pulled away”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Dyonisos
Dyonisos sits at the head of our figures and ran to form beaten 1½l off his current mark last time, with conditions here to suit. Emerald Harmony is the chief danger after her recent success at Thirsk, while Oriental Prince should be more at home on a sounder surface and is on a sliding mark. Dyonisos is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Dyonisos
Edward Greatrex · Ian Williams · 4yo
Top-rated of 7
score 51.7 · +0.2 clear of next best (51.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong8d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight56averageOR 84 — above field median
- Trainer20% weight48below averageIan Williams: 5/26 winners last 14d (19%)
- Form20% weight36below averageLast 6: 3-2-7-2-0-5
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Doncaster 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.93
High (6–7)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 155 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ian Williams · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 327205 | 84 | 51.7 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 6 5yo · M · b | 273031 | 78 | 50.3 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 1 6yo · G · bt | 335727 | 87 | 46.2 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 30507 | 72 | 39.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Liam Wright(5) · T: George Scott · draw 4 6yo · G · b | 106632 | 82 | 51.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 5 9yo · G · b | 00240 | 76 | 39.4 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 655935 | 74 | 49.6 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:10 Doncaster?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Dyonisos, won the race (AI score 51.7).
What were the placings in the 15:10 Doncaster?
Top finishers: 1. Dyonisos (FR) (4.00), 2. Emerald Harmony (IRE) (5.50), 3. Paddy's Day (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:10 Doncaster?
The winning time was 58.84s, 1.24s slower than standard.
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