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Next · 4h 43m14:30Lingfield (AW)

18:30 Beverley

IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,234 · Friday, 3 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Tropical Crown (IRE)
    Pierre-Louis Jamin·K R Burke
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Isca Bay (IRE)
    David Allan·Craig Lidster·beaten 2.75 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Miss Havisham (IRE)
    Tom Eaves·Kevin Ryan·beaten .5 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 3.03s+3.03s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Tropical Crown (IRE))

Chased the pace-setter - moved into the lead over 1f out - drew away inside the final furlong - won with something in hand

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Nightbloom

Nightbloom arrives with an outstanding pedigree as a 400,000 euro Invincible Spirit filly, closely related to a smart 5f performer who showed high-class ability as a juvenile; that breeding marks her as one to take seriously on debut. Viking Barbie brings the most experience on form, finishing second by 1¼l last time, while Tropical Crown is another newcomer who commands respect from a top stable. Nightbloom is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Fast Track

NON-RUNNER · Andrew Balding · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 53.9 · +4.2 clear of next best (49.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 86 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    Andrew Balding: 8/51 winners last 14d (16%)
  • Form20% weight
    36below average
    Last 6: 3-2-0
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Beverley 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.19
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.06
High (7–8)
IV 0.74

Today: Fast Track (draw 1) and Miss Havisham (draw 2) get the bias; Viking Barbie (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K R Burke · draw 4
2yo · F · b
19.5
8/1·9.00
SP
23
J: David Allan · T: Craig Lidster · draw 3
2yo · F · b
5
17.5
7/2·4.50
SP
34
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2
2yo · F · ch
3
25.0
7/2·4.50
SP
48
J: Billy Garritty · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 7
2yo · F · b
432
7349.6
100/30·4.33
SP
51
2yo · F · chtFT T
35
25.0
9/1·10.00
SP
65
2yo · F · b
24.0
3/1F·4.00
SP
76
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 6
2yo · F · b
55
21.0
50/1·51.00
SP
J: NON-RUNNER · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1
2yo · F · b
320
8653.9

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:30 Beverley on 3 July 2026?

Tropical Crown (IRE) won the 18:30 Beverley at SP 9.00. Ridden by Pierre-Louis Jamin. Trained by K R Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Beverley?

No — the AI top pick (Fast Track) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 18:30 Beverley?

Top finishers: 1. Tropical Crown (IRE) (9.00), 2. Isca Bay (IRE) (4.50), 3. Miss Havisham (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:30 Beverley?

The winning time was 1m 3.03s, 3.03s slower than standard.

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