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15:24 Beverley

George Kilburn Memorial Nursery

7½f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £4,004 · Saturday, 4 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Emerald Bay (IRE)
    P J McDonald·George Scott
    11/10F·2.10
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Amantha (IRE)
    Pierre-Louis Jamin·Brian Ellison·beaten 0.1 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Tiger In The Tree (GB)
    Duran Fentiman·Tim Easterby·beaten 1.75 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
Race time
1m 35.65s+5.95s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Farndale (score 42.2) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Amantha

Amantha, our selection at a rating of 69, is the only runner in the field with a win already banked, having landed a seller over today's trip last time, and she looks fairly treated as she steps up into handicap company off that mark. Farndale, who needs to bounce back from a below-par latest effort, has more encouraging form from earlier in the season and is the chief danger. Happy Humpo and Emerald Bay both have to find more on what they've shown so far, but with cheekpieces added for the first time to each, both could take a step forward and cannot be dismissed. On balance, Amantha's proven form and fair mark give her the edge in a race that lacks strength in depth.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Farndale

Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 42.2 · +2.2 clear of next best (40.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    Tim Easterby: 15/81 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 57
  • Form20% weight
    18weak
    Last 6: 6-5-8
MarketBest price 10.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 3rd in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Beverley 7½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.09).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.08
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.80
High (5–5)
IV 1.09

Today: Tiger In The Tree (draw 5) gets the bias; Amantha (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 95 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: P J McDonald · T: George Scott · draw 2
2yo · G · bpFT P
076
5738.0
11/10F·2.10
SP
21
2yo · F · b
08661
5940.0
2/1·3.00
SP
34
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5
2yo · F · b
969
5138.6
20/1·21.00
SP
45
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Charlie Clover · draw 4
2yo · F · bpFT P
058
4638.3
13/2·7.50
SP
53
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1
2yo · F · b
658
5742.2
13/2·7.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:24 Beverley on 4 July 2026?

Emerald Bay (IRE) won the 15:24 Beverley at SP 2.10. Ridden by P J McDonald. Trained by George Scott.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:24 Beverley?

No — the AI top pick (Farndale) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 15:24 Beverley?

Top finishers: 1. Emerald Bay (IRE) (2.10), 2. Amantha (IRE) (3.00), 3. Tiger In The Tree (GB) (21.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:24 Beverley?

The winning time was 1m 35.65s, 5.95s slower than standard.

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