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RacingAlpha

14:25 Sandown

Coral Dragon Stakes (Listed)

5f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 8 runners · £25,520 · Friday, 3 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Bint Archange (IRE)
    Ryan Moore·Richard Hughes
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    A Bear Affair (IRE)
    Sean Levey·Richard Hannon·beaten .5 lengths
    4/1C·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Miss Lizzy (GB)
    Paddy Bradley·Charlie Fellowes·beaten 1.25 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 1.42s+1.62s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

AI top-rated Bill The Bull (score 60.2) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: A Bear Affair

A Bear Affair has faced stiff competition since his debut success and was far from disgraced when beaten four lengths in a Listed contest at Ascot last time, ensuring he remains a live player. Bill The Bull brings course form given a boost at Royal Ascot, while the consistent Ronson was narrowly denied at Beverley despite greenness; Miss Lizzy also shaped with credit in a Group 2 at Ascot and is respected. A Bear Affair is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Bill The Bull

Pat Cosgrave · Adam Kirby · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 60.2 · +4.2 clear of next best (56.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    70strong
    Last 6: 4-3-4-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    59average
    OR 89
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Adam Kirby: 2/15 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Sandown 5f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.18
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.64
High (7–9)
IV 1.12

Today: Bill The Bull (draw 2) and Ronson (draw 1) get the bias; Bint Archange (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 53 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Ryan Moore · T: Richard Hughes · draw 6
2yo · F · b
310
8450.7
10/1·11.00
SP
21
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 9
2yo · C · b
1376
8850.7
4/1C·5.00
SP
39
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 3
2yo · F · bt
74150
9055.5
11/2·6.50
SP
44
J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 1
2yo · C · b
712
9056.0
4/1C·5.00
SP
55
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 5
2yo · C · b
10
8447.2
13/2·7.50
SP
63
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 7
2yo · C · b
2
27.6
11/1·12.00
SP
78
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 8
2yo · F · gr
82
27.1
17/2·9.50
SP
82
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Adam Kirby · draw 2
2yo · C · b
4341
8960.2
4/1C·5.00
SP
J: NON-RUNNER · T: George Boughey · draw 4
2yo · F · b
21
34.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:25 Sandown on 3 July 2026?

Bint Archange (IRE) won the 14:25 Sandown at SP 11.00. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by Richard Hughes.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:25 Sandown?

No — the AI top pick (Bill The Bull) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 14:25 Sandown?

Top finishers: 1. Bint Archange (IRE) (11.00), 2. A Bear Affair (IRE) (5.00), 3. Miss Lizzy (GB) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:25 Sandown?

The winning time was 1m 1.42s, 1.62s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org