Who won the 20:09 Carlisle on 4 July 2026?
Tarbat Ness (GB) won the 20:09 Carlisle at SP 6.00. Ridden by Gina Mangan. Trained by John Berry.
← All racecards20:09
Carlisle
Great BritainCaledonia Park Stylish Stayers Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys)
Saturday, 4 July 2026
2m1f·Flat·Class 5·Good·6 runners·£5,234
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stTarbat Ness (GB)Gina Mangan·John Berry5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndLaravie (IRE)AI top pick · 60.5Joanna Mason·James Owen·beaten 8.5 lengths11/8F·2.38SP
- 3rdAnimato (GB)Miss Lizzie O'Neill·Donald McCain·beaten 2.25 lengths33/1·34.00SP
Race time
3m 53.54s+6.54s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.060.5/100 rating
Laravie
2.20Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Racing Alpha pick
Laravie
Joanna Mason · James Owen · 7yo
60.5/100
+7.5 vs next best (53.0)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight83very strongLast 6: 9-5-1-1-1-2
- Trainer20% weight50averageJames Owen: 7/35 winners last 14d (20%)
- Ratings50% weight48below averageOR 72 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 2.20 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 7yo · M · bv | 951112 | 10-09 | 72 | — | — | 60.5 | 11/8F·2.38 SP | |
| 1 | 2 | 6 | 7yo · G · grb | 446453 | 10-05 | 68 | — | — | 41.1 | 5/1·6.00 SP | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 7yo · G · bh | 71213 | 10-02 | 65 | — | — | 51.0 | 7/4·2.75 SP | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 4yo · G · bv | 21340 | 9-10 | 59 | — | — | 41.7 | 10/1·11.00 SP | |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 7yo · G · chtp | 74065 | 9-08 | 57 | — | — | 37.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 10yo · M · ch | 30239 | 9-08 | 57 | — | — | 53.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:09 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Laravie) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 20:09 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Tarbat Ness (GB) (6.00), 2. Laravie (IRE) (2.38), 3. Animato (GB) (34.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:09 Carlisle?
The winning time was 3m 53.54s, 6.54s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyThis staying handicap has plenty in good order, but Laravie holds the strongest claims as a progressive mare who was only beaten in an awkwardly run small field last time, having completed a hat-trick the start before that. A return to this longer trip should suit her, and she's taken to confirm that promise. Tarbat Ness is a robust, reliable sort who should go close again, Cascade Hall arrives in good form having run with credit at a tougher level last time, and Arctic Fox can bounce back from a below-par run last time — all three make up the chief dangers. Laravie is the selection.
Racing Post pick: Laravie
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org