Who won the 20:09 Carlisle on 4 July 2026?
Tarbat Ness (GB) won the 20:09 Carlisle at SP 6.00. Ridden by Gina Mangan. Trained by John Berry.
20:09 Carlisle
Caledonia Park Stylish Stayers Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys)
2m1f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 6 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stTarbat Ness (GB)Gina Mangan·John Berry5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndLaravie (IRE)AI top pick · 60.5Joanna Mason·James Owen·beaten 8.5 lengths11/8F·2.38SP
- 3rdAnimato (GB)Miss Lizzie O'Neill·Donald McCain·beaten 2.25 lengths33/1·34.00SP
Race time
3m 53.54s+6.54s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Tarbat Ness (GB))
“Dropped out in the early stages - moved to 4th at halfway - switched to the inner over 3f out - eased to the front - drew away from 2f out - won comfortably”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Laravie
This staying handicap has plenty in good order, but Laravie holds the strongest claims as a progressive mare who was only beaten in an awkwardly run small field last time, having completed a hat-trick the start before that. A return to this longer trip should suit her, and she's taken to confirm that promise. Tarbat Ness is a robust, reliable sort who should go close again, Cascade Hall arrives in good form having run with credit at a tougher level last time, and Arctic Fox can bounce back from a below-par run last time — all three make up the chief dangers. Laravie is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Laravie
Joanna Mason · James Owen · 7yo
Top-rated of 6
score 60.5 · +7.5 clear of next best (53.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight83very strongLast 6: 9-5-1-1-1-2
- Trainer20% weight50averageJames Owen: 7/35 winners last 14d (20%)
- Ratings50% weight48below averageOR 72 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 2.20 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Gina Mangan · T: John Berry · draw 6 7yo · G · grb | 446453 | 68 | 41.1 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Joanna Mason · T: James Owen · draw 3 7yo · M · bv | 951112 | 72 | 60.5 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Miss Lizzie O'Neill(5) · T: Donald McCain · draw 5 7yo · G · chtp | 74065 | 57 | 37.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Lauren Young · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1 7yo · G · bh | 71213 | 65 | 51.0 | 7/4·2.75 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Laura Pearson · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 2 4yo · G · bv | 21340 | 59 | 41.7 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Josephine Gordon · T: Martin Todhunter · draw 4 10yo · M · ch | 30239 | 57 | 53.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:09 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Laravie) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 20:09 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Tarbat Ness (GB) (6.00), 2. Laravie (IRE) (2.38), 3. Animato (GB) (34.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:09 Carlisle?
The winning time was 3m 53.54s, 6.54s slower than standard.
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