Who won the 19:39 Carlisle on 4 July 2026?
Valley Of Flowers (IRE) won the 19:39 Carlisle at SP 4.33. Ridden by Joanna Mason. Trained by Samantha & Jacqueline Coward.
19:39 Carlisle
Helen Stewart Appreciation Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys)
1m3f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stValley Of Flowers (IRE)Joanna Mason·Samantha & Jacqueline Coward100/30·4.33SP
- 2ndJunkyard Dog (IRE)Cara Tuke·Iain Jardine·beaten 3.25 lengths25/1·26.00SP
- 3rdAlpine Sierra (IRE)Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 4.25 lengths5/2·3.50SP
Race time
2m 25.73s+3.33s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Valley Of Flowers (IRE))
“Settled at the back - moved into contention at halfway - swept to the front over 3f out - stretched the advantage from 2f out - gently handled near home”
AI top-rated V Twelve (score 50.8) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Valley Of Flowers
This looks a moderate contest with doubts surrounding more than one runner, but Valley Of Flowers remains the pick on figures, her consistency compensating for a slight doubt about finishing off strongly in this longer test. Covert Legend, boosted by a pleasing comeback effort last time, looks the biggest threat, while Alpine Sierra, unbeaten in three prior to last time, may again be undone by quick ground exactly as happened then. V Twelve, needing to rediscover his level after a switch to fences, rounds out the market dangers on figures, with Junkyard Dog making up the numbers, leaving Valley Of Flowers as our selection ahead of Covert Legend and Alpine Sierra.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
V Twelve
Josephine Gordon · Martin Todhunter · 7yo
Top-rated of 5
score 50.8 · +0.2 clear of next best (50.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)Martin Todhunter: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight65strong87d since last run (rusty)
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
- Form20% weight36below averageLast 6: 1-3-7-3-9
MarketBest price 10.00 (Bet365) · 4th in the market of 5.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 1m3f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.31).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.31
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.89
High (5–5)
IV 0.75
Today: Junkyard Dog (draw 2) and Covert Legend (draw 1) get the bias; Valley Of Flowers (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 52 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Samantha & Jacqueline Coward · draw 5 8yo · M · b | 36724 | 66 | 38.1 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Cara Tuke(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2 4yo · G · bvFT V | 54589 | 67 | 50.6 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Lauren Young · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4 8yo · G · br | 231119 | 66 | 46.7 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Miss M O'Sullivan · T: Maurice Andrew Ahern · draw 1 6yo · G · bt | 64424 | 62 | 43.1 | 11/10F·2.10 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Josephine Gordon · T: Martin Todhunter · draw 3 7yo · G · br | 13739 | 62 | 50.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:39 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (V Twelve) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 19:39 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Valley Of Flowers (IRE) (4.33), 2. Junkyard Dog (IRE) (26.00), 3. Alpine Sierra (IRE) (3.50).
What was the winning time for the 19:39 Carlisle?
The winning time was 2m 25.73s, 3.33s slower than standard.
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