Who won the 18:09 Carlisle on 4 July 2026?
Bellasio (IRE) won the 18:09 Carlisle at SP 5.50. Ridden by Laura Pearson. Trained by Grant Tuer.
← All racecards18:09
Carlisle
Great BritainTitle Sponsor Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys)
Saturday, 4 July 2026
1m1f·Flat·Class 5·Good·8 runners·£5,234
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stBellasio (IRE)Laura Pearson·Grant Tuer9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndFinancer (GB)Miss Amy Collier·Tim Easterby·beaten .5 lengths5/2F·3.50SP
- 3rdMr Lincoln (GB)AI top pick · 57.5Josephine Gordon·Iain Jardine·beaten .75 lengths3/1·4.00SP
Race time
1m 56.88s+2.88s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.057.5/100 rating
Mr Lincoln
8.00SmarketsSBK· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way57.5/100 rating
Mr Lincoln
8.00SmarketsSBK
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Mr Lincoln
Josephine Gordon · Iain Jardine · 6yo
57.5/100
+5.7 vs next best (51.7)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73strongIain Jardine: 8/28 winners last 14d (29%)
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight40below averageLast 6: 2-8-8-6-2
MarketBest price 8.00 (SmarketsSBK) — 5th pick of 9 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | 7 | 6yo · G · gr | 28862 | 10-09 | 75 | — | — | 57.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 5yo · M · b | 211061 | 10-07 | 73 | — | — | 47.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP | |
| 2 | 3 | 9 | 5yo · G · bb | 40455 | 10-06 | 72 | — | — | 46.5 | 5/2F·3.50 SP | |
| 6 | 5 | 6 | 5yo · G · b | 64800 | 10-02 | 68 | — | — | 49.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 4yo · F · b | 33405 | 10-00 | 66 | — | — | 47.7 | 22/1·23.00 SP | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 4yo · G · b | 49721 | 9-13 | 65 | — | — | 51.4 | 11/2·6.50 SP | |
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 5yo · G · b | 26552 | 9-10 | 62 | — | — | 51.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP | |
| 7 | 9 | 2 | 11yo · G · b | 90748 | 9-07 | 59 | — | — | 42.9 | 40/1·41.00 SP | |
| — | — | 1 | 5yo · M · btpFT TP | 5547 | 10-04 | 70 | — | — | 37.5 | — |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:09 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Mr Lincoln) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 18:09 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Bellasio (IRE) (5.50), 2. Financer (GB) (3.50), 3. Mr Lincoln (GB) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:09 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 56.88s, 2.88s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyThis looks competitive from top to bottom, but Hostility edges it as our selection: his need to be dropped out and asked late leaves him open to being outpaced, yet he had more than enough in reserve to win last time, and Joanna Mason keeping the ride again is a plus. Mr Lincoln, in good order recently, should also go well, though this sharper trip is a query for a horse who wants further. Izzari's figures make him hard to leave out if he can rediscover his better form, while Krissy, who has already swapped placings with Hostility, will be around the finish again if allowed to dictate from the front, though she can be erratic. Hostility remains the pick, with Mr Lincoln, Izzari and Krissy the main dangers.
Racing Post pick: Hostility
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org