Who won the 16:30 Leicester on 4 July 2026?
Mr Writer (IRE) won the 16:30 Leicester at SP 3.00. Ridden by Daniel Muscutt. Trained by James Fanshawe.
16:30 Leicester
KLG Rutland Handicap
7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 2/1J·3.00Race report
- 1stMr Writer (IRE)AI top pick · 56.2Daniel Muscutt·James Fanshawe2/1J·3.00SP
- 2ndCashbox (IRE)David Probert·Charles Hills·beaten 0.3 lengths8/1·9.00SP
- 3rdGalileo Island (IRE)Benoit De La Sayette·Marco Botti·beaten 4 lengths16/1·17.00SP
Race time
1m 22.68s+0.28s vs std
On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way55.1/100 rating
Galileo Island
9.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.60 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Mr Writer
Mr Writer carries a deserved rise in weight after a breakthrough win a couple of starts back, and last time's fifth over a mile looked more about a stamina test than any loss of form; dropping back to seven furlongs plays to his strengths and, with the yard in good order, makes him the one to beat. Frantic didn't get the run of the race last time and remains capable of running well again, while Eduardo Calderon has performed with credit on his last two handicap starts and rates the leading alternative should the selection falter. Galileo Island also commands respect on his placed form, but on balance Mr Writer's move back in trip gives him the nod.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Mr Writer
Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 56.2 · +1.1 clear of next best (55.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight63averageLast 6: 2-4-2-1-5
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight38below averageJames Fanshawe: 3/20 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 3.25 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 7.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Leicester 7f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.03
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.17
High (6–7)
IV 0.81
Today: Cashbox (draw 4) and Loquella (draw 5) get the bias; Galileo Island (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 148 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 1 3yo · G · gr | 24215 | 78 | 56.2 | 2/1J·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: David Probert · T: Charles Hills · draw 4 3yo · G · bpFT P | 01107 | 77 | 47.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Benoit De La Sayette · T: Marco Botti · draw 7 3yo · C · bp | 13248 | 78 | 55.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 38724 | 68 | 52.5 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Ed Walker · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 24227 | 72 | 52.0 | 2/1J·3.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: George Wood · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 3 3yo · G · bt | 134107 | 72 | 42.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 1265 | 74 | 46.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Leicester?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Mr Writer, won the race (AI score 56.2).
What were the placings in the 16:30 Leicester?
Top finishers: 1. Mr Writer (IRE) (3.00), 2. Cashbox (IRE) (9.00), 3. Galileo Island (IRE) (17.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:30 Leicester?
The winning time was 1m 22.68s, on standard time.
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