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Next · 5h 7m19:08Worcester

17:05 Leicester

Appliance City Bunny 'Confined' Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £3,140 · Saturday, 4 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Palmarian (GB)
    James Sullivan·Ruth Carr
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Little Ted (GB)
    David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten .5 lengths
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Aurelune (IRE)
    Harry Russell·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 1.5 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
1m 44.63s+3.83s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Avispado (score 48.0) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way48.0/100 rating
Avispado
9.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Little Ted

Little Ted is our selection, having been runner-up in two of his last three starts, most recently when narrowly beaten at Newcastle. A 2lb rise looks manageable, and although this looks a competitive, medium-confidence heat, his placed form edges it. Sovereign Bright, dropping back in trip and fitted with cheekpieces for the first time, rates the biggest danger, while My Ambition, who had been in good form before racing too freely last time, and the consistent Stole My Heart also merit plenty of respect.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Avispado

Kaiya Fraser · David Menuisier · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 48.0 · +5.0 clear of next best (43.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    68strong
    David Menuisier: 3/11 winners last 14d (27%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 57
  • Form20% weight
    28weak
    Last 6: 9-0-5-4
MarketBest price 9.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 6th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leicester 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.03
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.17
High (7–9)
IV 0.81

Today: Little Ted (draw 4) and My Ambition (draw 5) get the bias; Avispado (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 148 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 7
4yo · G · bh
775895
5835.5
13/2·7.50
SP
24
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4
9yo · G · chp
605272
5243.0
11/8F·2.38
SP
35
3yo · F · b
5367
5937.6
10/1·11.00
SP
42
J: George Bass · T: Denis Coakley · draw 5
7yo · G · ch
30239
5735.0
5/1·6.00
SP
59
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Henry Candy · draw 3
3yo · F · chp
68874
4736.9
12/1·13.00
SP
63
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 6
5yo · G · bt
01000
5331.3
14/1·15.00
SP
77
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: David Menuisier · draw 9
3yo · G · bh
9054
5748.0
14/1·15.00
SP
86
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2
3yo · F · bpFT P
53306
5940.9
11/1·12.00
SP
98
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: David Evans · draw 1
3yo · F · b
66883
5632.9
11/1·12.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:05 Leicester on 4 July 2026?

Palmarian (GB) won the 17:05 Leicester at SP 7.50. Ridden by James Sullivan. Trained by Ruth Carr.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:05 Leicester?

No — the AI top pick (Avispado) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 17:05 Leicester?

Top finishers: 1. Palmarian (GB) (7.50), 2. Little Ted (GB) (2.38), 3. Aurelune (IRE) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:05 Leicester?

The winning time was 1m 44.63s, 3.83s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org