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20:00 Nottingham

Shipstones 1852 Heritage Cup Fillies' Handicap

1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £4,187 · Saturday, 4 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Celestias Comet (IRE)
    Jonny Peate·James Fanshawe
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dinah Myte (GB)
    William Pyle·John Gallagher·beaten 1.25 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Rosemary May (IRE)
    Rhys Elliott·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.1 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
2m 8.58s+1.98s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

AI top-rated Phaedra (score 48.8) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Saliko

This has the makings of a tight race, but Saliko can get back on track after a moderate run of results, having shown signs of revival on quick ground two starts back and now dropping 5lb below her last winning mark, with an excellent record at this course in her favour too. Phaedra, sharpened by a first-time tongue-tie worn again tonight, rates the chief danger if she settles for it and builds on a recent runner-up effort, while Rosemary May's penultimate effort also demands respect, though her stamina for this longer trip remains unproven. Celestias Comet, whose rating keeps easing, and Dinah Myte, only 1lb out of the handicap, also warrant some each-way thought. Saliko is the selection in what looks a competitive renewal.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Phaedra

Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · Joey Ramsden · 4yo

Top-rated of 6
score 48.8 · +3.7 clear of next best (45.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    8d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Joey Ramsden: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 2-7-2-4-0-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67
MarketBest price 4.00 (Virgin Bet) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.99
High (5–6)
IV 1.11

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Celestias Comet
J: Jonny Peate · T: James Fanshawe · draw 5
4yo · F · chh
06655
6845.1
15/8F·2.88
SP
26
Dinah Myte
J: William Pyle · T: John Gallagher · draw 2
4yo · F · b
797614
4941.6
7/1·8.00
SP
35
Rosemary May
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1
4yo · F · bh
08935
5440.2
7/1·8.00
SP
43
Huggable
J: J F Egan · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 3
4yo · F · b
22069
6639.1
9/2·5.50
SP
52
Phaedra
J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 4
4yo · F · bt
272402
6748.8
100/30·4.33
SP
64
Saliko
J: Rowan Scott · T: Jack Jones · draw 6
4yo · F · bp
07940
6534.7
7/1·8.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:00 Nottingham on 4 July 2026?

Celestias Comet (IRE) won the 20:00 Nottingham at SP 2.88. Ridden by Jonny Peate. Trained by James Fanshawe.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Nottingham?

No — the AI top pick (Phaedra) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 20:00 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Celestias Comet (IRE) (2.88), 2. Dinah Myte (GB) (8.00), 3. Rosemary May (IRE) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:00 Nottingham?

The winning time was 2m 8.58s, 1.98s slower than standard.

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