Who won the 20:30 Nottingham on 4 July 2026?
Baldosa (IRE) won the 20:30 Nottingham at SP 6.00. Ridden by Rowan Scott. Trained by Nigel Tinkler.
20:30 Nottingham
Last Orders Dash Handicap
1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £3,402 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stBaldosa (IRE)Rowan Scott·Nigel Tinkler5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndRegulus Black (GB)AI top pick · 47.5Ross Coakley·Hugo Palmer·beaten .5 lengths8/11F·1.73SP
- 3rdSound Gloria (GB)Harry Vigors·Roger Varian·beaten 1.5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
2m 10.66s+4.06s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.73 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way36.8/100 rating
Sound Gloria
5.50William Hill
Place portion settles at 2.13 · 1/4 odds · 2 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Regulus Black
REGULUS BLACK has taken well to handicaps — a good third at Beverley preceded his first success, at Chepstow, and he backed that up with a solid run in defeat at Hamilton. Having failed to stay a stiffer 11f last time, easing back to 10 furlongs today looks to suit him nicely. Palace Artois's yard remains patient through a lean spell, and with her pedigree pointing to more scope over further, this longer trip ought to bring out her best; Sound Gloria, stepping up from novice company where she showed only moderate form, may prove better suited by a handicap; and Baldosa cannot be discounted either. With everything pointing his way and his profile still improving, REGULUS BLACK is preferred to build on that Chepstow win.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Regulus Black
Ross Coakley · Hugo Palmer · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 47.5 · +10.7 clear of next best (36.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight62averageLast 6: 4-5-5-3-1-3
- Ratings50% weight37below averageOR 56
- Trainer20% weight33weakHugo Palmer: 4/32 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 2.00 (Bet365) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.99
High (6–7)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 308524 | 49 | 36.6 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Ross Coakley · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6 3yo · C · b | 455313 | 56 | 47.5 | 8/11F·1.73 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Roger Varian · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 077 | 52 | 36.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: William Haggas · draw 2 3yo · F · bp | 75776 | 55 | 36.6 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 870 | 46 | 34.7 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: William Pyle · T: Ruth Carr · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 686597 | 45 | 30.7 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| — | — | J: J F Egan · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 36580 | 59 | 34.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Regulus Black) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 20:30 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Baldosa (IRE) (6.00), 2. Regulus Black (GB) (1.73), 3. Sound Gloria (GB) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:30 Nottingham?
The winning time was 2m 10.66s, 4.06s slower than standard.
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