Who won the 17:00 Ayr on 5 July 2026?
Bearish (IRE) won the 17:00 Ayr at SP 7.00. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by Ed Dunlop.
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 6/1·7.00Race report
- 1stBearish (IRE)AI top pick · 71.8Clifford Lee·Ed Dunlop6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndDwindling Funds (GB)Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.3 lengths10/3F·4.33SP
- 3rdSalam Dubawi (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten 1.25 lengths22/1·23.00SP
Race time
1m 38.83s+1.73s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way71.8/100 rating
Bearish
7.20Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Bearish
Bearish enters handicap company off a mark that looks lenient after going close at Hamilton recently, and there is clearly more to come from this progressive colt. Leadenhall is the most obvious threat, having run well last time and capable on a 4lb higher mark, while Dwindling Funds showed renewed promise at Musselburgh and Theoryofeverything, who landed this race last year, adds to the intrigue. Bearish is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Bearish
Clifford Lee · Ed Dunlop · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 71.8 · +13.5 clear of next best (58.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongEd Dunlop: 4/10 winners last 14d (40%)
- Freshness10% weight85very strong39d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight80strongLast 6: 4-1-2
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82
MarketBest price 7.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.06
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.92
High (9–11)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 6 3yo · C · b | 412 | 82 | 71.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 11 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 5yo · G · bp | 20042 | 72 | 45.6 | 10/3F·4.33 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 61010 | 87 | 51.8 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 6yo · G · b | 571612 | 78 | 51.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 1 4yo · G · bp | 2150 | 89 | 54.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 2 3yo · F · bt | 12450 | 87 | 52.3 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 11 6yo · G · bp | 441220 | 76 | 49.7 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 7 6yo · G · grt | 80545 | 89 | 51.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 13P35 | 83 | 58.3 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 3 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 10 6yo · G · b | 03108 | 87 | 50.3 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| — | — | J: NON-RUNNER(5) · T: Katie Scott · draw 8 9yo · G · b | 17040 | 85 | 46.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Ayr?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Bearish, won the race (AI score 71.8).
What were the placings in the 17:00 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Bearish (IRE) (7.00), 2. Dwindling Funds (GB) (4.33), 3. Salam Dubawi (GB) (23.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:00 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 38.83s, 1.73s slower than standard.
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