Who won the 15:15 Ayr on 5 July 2026?
Altareq (GB) won the 15:15 Ayr at SP 3.25. Ridden by Paul Mulrennan. Trained by Jim Goldie.
15:15 Ayr
Now Ayrshire Radio Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners · £5,234 · Sunday, 5 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stAltareq (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie9/4F·3.25SP
- 2ndBreak The Bank (GB)David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten .75 lengths40/1·41.00SP
- 3rdQitaal (GB)Rowan Scott·Charlie Johnston·beaten .75 lengths15/2·8.50SP
Race time
2m 8.15s+3.15s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
AI top-rated Kokanee (score 67.1) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way67.1/100 rating
Kokanee
4.90Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Qitaal
Qitaal is operating below his last winning mark and the trip and ground suit — a modest effort last time is not enough to dismiss him. Mao Shang Wong is closely matched and showed renewed form recently at this level; Cisco Disco carries a strong course record but may want softer conditions, while Altareq, better over 10f than his Carlisle run suggested, is a further danger. Qitaal is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Kokanee
Clifford Lee · Ed Dunlop · 4yo
Top-rated of 10
score 67.1 · +15.8 clear of next best (51.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongEd Dunlop: 4/10 winners last 14d (40%)
- Freshness10% weight85very strong29d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight61averageLast 6: 4-5-2-6-1
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 79
MarketBest price 4.90 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.76
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.20
Today: Leonato (draw 8) and Altareq (draw 9) get the bias; Kokanee (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 57 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 23303 | 83 | 49.7 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 5yo · G · bbFT B | 473U0 | 75 | 43.9 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5 7yo · G · ch | 742523 | 76 | 49.9 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Paula Muir(3) · T: Wilf Storey · draw 10 5yo · M · gr | 47665 | 61 | 35.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Leigh Roche · T: Maurice Andrew Ahern · draw 2 5yo · G · bt | 00006 | 75 | 33.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 8 3yo · G · chpFT P | 9342 | 72 | 51.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 048102 | 76 | 48.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 45261 | 79 | 67.1 | 10/3·4.33 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 10797 | 72 | 51.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 10 | 5 | J: Oisin McSweeney · T: R Mike Smith · draw 7 8yo · G · b | 11187 | 75 | 49.5 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Kokanee) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 15:15 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Altareq (GB) (3.25), 2. Break The Bank (GB) (41.00), 3. Qitaal (GB) (8.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:15 Ayr?
The winning time was 2m 8.15s, 3.15s slower than standard.
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