18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 10h 34m19:08Worcester

14:11 Ayr

Hadley's 'Hello My Wee China' Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners · £3,974 · Sunday, 5 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 3/1·4.00
  1. 1st
    Who Wants Me (IRE)AI top pick · 53.7
    Mr Lucas Murphy·Iain Jardine
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Woohoo (IRE)
    Miss Kayleigh Williams·Jim Goldie·beaten 2.25 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Water Of Leith (IRE)
    Mr Eireann Cagney·Jim Goldie·beaten 1.5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
58.35s+1.45s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way49.5/100 rating
Our Absent Friends
4.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Our Absent Friends

Our Absent Friends is on a fair mark and was arguably unlucky at Catterick last time, getting into the race too soon; better settled, he should show his consistent best. Water Of Leith goes well at this track and is competitively treated, while Who Wants Me comes here in good form, though the drop back to 5f is a caveat. Our Absent Friends is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Who Wants Me

Mr Lucas Murphy(5) · Iain Jardine · 4yo

Top-rated of 7
score 53.7 · +4.1 clear of next best (49.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    70strong
    Iain Jardine: 9/32 winners last 14d (28%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    11d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 3-0-4-6-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67
MarketBest price 4.20 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.24
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.98
High (6–7)
IV 0.75

Today: Our Absent Friends (draw 3) and Woohoo (draw 2) get the bias; Who Wants Me (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Who Wants Me
J: Mr Lucas Murphy(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 6
4yo · F · b
30461
6753.7
3/1·4.00
SP
21
Woohoo
J: Miss Kayleigh Williams(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2
5yo · M · b
014927
7044.3
7/2·4.50
SP
34
Water Of Leith
J: Mr Eireann Cagney · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4
8yo · G · b
314655
6443.5
9/2·5.50
SP
47
Midnight Lir
J: Mr Matt Brown(3) · T: Michael Dods · draw 1
5yo · G · btb
60934
6140.5
10/1·11.00
SP
52
Marajito
J: Mr Thomas Easterby(3) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7
4yo · F · b
00516
7046.7
16/1·17.00
SP
66
Never Dark
J: Mr Freddie Robson(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 5
9yo · G · b
49387
6243.9
25/1·26.00
SP
75
Our Absent Friends
J: Miss Amy Collier · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 3
8yo · G · cht
342063
6349.5
5/2F·3.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:11 Ayr on 5 July 2026?

Who Wants Me (IRE) won the 14:11 Ayr at SP 4.00. Ridden by Mr Lucas Murphy. Trained by Iain Jardine.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:11 Ayr?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Who Wants Me, won the race (AI score 53.7).

What were the placings in the 14:11 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Who Wants Me (IRE) (4.00), 2. Woohoo (IRE) (4.50), 3. Water Of Leith (IRE) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:11 Ayr?

The winning time was 58.35s, 1.45s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org