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Next · 10h 1m19:08Worcester

16:25 Ayr

Glasgow Fair Family Raceday 20 July Handicap

1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £3,664 · Sunday, 5 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Recobella (FR)
    Billy Loughnane·Philip Kirby
    7/2F·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Off Spin (IRE)AI top pick · 44.2
    David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 1.25 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Shifter (GB)
    Paula Muir·Wilf Storey·beaten .75 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
2m 8.67s+3.67s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way44.2/100 rating
Off Spin
6.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Uncle Liam

Uncle Liam heads our ratings with a recent win at Hamilton off a 3lb lower mark and holds sound course form here; he acts well on the going and stays the trip. Off Spin has been consistent and placed here last time off this same mark, while Zebra Star hinted at a return to form last time out. Uncle Liam is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Off Spin

David Allan · Tim Easterby · 4yo

Top-rated of 10
score 44.2 · +1.5 clear of next best (42.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 5-3-5-3-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 55 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Tim Easterby: 9/84 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 6.80 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.76
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.20

Today: Off Spin (draw 9) and Uncle Liam (draw 10) get the bias; Glasses Up (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 57 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
Recobella
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Philip Kirby · draw 3
5yo · M · ch
73525
5335.3
7/2F·4.50
SP
22
Off Spin
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 9
4yo · G · bt
53533
5544.2
5/1·6.00
SP
36
Shifter
J: Paula Muir(3) · T: Wilf Storey · draw 8
7yo · M · b
98542
4935.5
4/1·5.00
SP
45
Uncle Liam
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 10
4yo · G · b
28815
5342.7
12/1·13.00
SP
53
Glasses Up
J: Sean Kirrane · T: R Mike Smith · draw 1
11yo · G · ch
53567
5438.3
14/1·15.00
SP
61
Mr Withington
J: Rowan Scott · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 2
5yo · G · b
63687
5537.5
6/1·7.00
SP
710
Sanny Doo
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5
3yo · G · b
848867
4631.8
80/1·81.00
SP
88
Manbearpig
J: Clifford Lee · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 7
3yo · G · bbFT B
55554
5538.8
20/1·21.00
SP
97
Zebra Star
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: R Mike Smith · draw 4
6yo · M · gr
50954
4635.6
11/2·6.50
SP
109
Romeo's Guardian
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6
3yo · G · bpFT P
979
4630.1
11/1·12.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:25 Ayr on 5 July 2026?

Recobella (FR) won the 16:25 Ayr at SP 4.50. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Philip Kirby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Off Spin) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:25 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Recobella (FR) (4.50), 2. Off Spin (IRE) (6.00), 3. Shifter (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:25 Ayr?

The winning time was 2m 8.67s, 3.67s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org