16:30 Ayr

Ladbrokes Get More With Racing Bet Builder Ayr Silver Cup Trial Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 17 runners · £10,308 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 10th

1st
Manila Scouse (GB)
Sean Kirrane·Tim Easterby
15/2·8.50
SP
2nd
Territorial Knight (GB)
Tom Eaves·Kevin Ryan·beaten 1.75 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP
3rd
Rousing Encore (IRE)
James Sullivan·Ruth Carr·beaten 0.2 lengths
4/1F·5.00
SP

Race time

1m 10.29s+1.29s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Manila Scouse (GB))

“Raced close up - cruised into the front over 1f out - soon roused and ran on strongly to the line”

AI top-rated Parisiac (score 65.3) finished 10th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way65.3/100 rating

Parisiac

11.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Parisiac

Cara Tuke(7) · Iain Jardine · 7yo

Top-rated of 18

score 65.3 · +13.3 clear of next best (52.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
16d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
73strong
Last 6: 2-8-1-2-2
Trainer20% weight
70strong
Iain Jardine: 10/36 winners last 14d (28%)
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 80

MarketBest price 11.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 18.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–6)

IV 1.24

Mid (7–12)

IV 0.98

High (13–18)

IV 0.75

Today: Parisiac (draw 4) and Rousing Encore (draw 5) get the bias; Woven (draw 16) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	9	Manila Scouse J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 12 7yo · G · bt	47326	9-10	79	—	—	50.2	15/2·8.50 SP
2	1	Territorial Knight J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 14 4yo · G · ch	12554	10-02	85	—	—	47.5	11/1·12.00 SP
3	5	Rousing Encore J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 5 6yo · G · b	255040	10-01	84	—	—	47.3	4/1F·5.00 SP
4	15	Dandy Magic J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 17 4yo · F · ch	52300	9-02	71	—	—	45.0	25/1·26.00 SP
5	12	Here Forever J: David Nolan · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 6 3yo · G · b	74104	9-04	79	—	—	44.7	50/1·51.00 SP
6	7	Lord Bertie J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 3 6yo · G · bh	10600	9-13	82	—	—	45.5	15/2·8.50 SP
7	6	Misunderstood J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 8 4yo · G · b	96576	10-00	83	—	—	46.1	25/1·26.00 SP
8	4	Jordan Electrics J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 10yo · G · b	026954	10-01	84	—	—	50.8	5/1·6.00 SP
9	3	Woven J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 16 10yo · G · chp	50472	10-02	85	—	—	52.0	9/1·10.00 SP
10	8	Parisiac J: Cara Tuke(7) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 4 7yo · G · bp	28122	9-11	80	—	—	65.3	9/1·10.00 SP
11	10	Prince Of Pillo J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 15 6yo · G · ch	02968	9-09	78	—	—	44.5	22/1·23.00 SP
12	13	The Caltonian J: Andrew Mullen · T: Linda Perratt · draw 7 7yo · G · bb	61005	9-03	72	—	—	35.9	28/1·29.00 SP
13	18	Kelpie Grey J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 18 6yo · G · gr	56586	8-11	66	—	—	42.5	14/1·15.00 SP
14	14	Cotai Lights J: Mikey Sheehy · T: Adrian Paul Keatley · draw 1 3yo · G · ch	33940	9-03	78	—	—	43.5	11/1·12.00 SP
15	2	Gweedore J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Katie Scott · draw 2 9yo · G · b	17040	10-02	85	—	—	46.5	16/1·17.00 SP
16	17	Daizen J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 11 3yo · G · gr	15051	9-00	75	—	—	46.9	12/1·13.00 SP
17	11	Dakota Gold J: Clifford Lee · T: Michael Dods · draw 13 12yo · G · b	00590	9-08	77	—	—	41.2	50/1·51.00 SP
—	—	Tip Foster J: · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 10 3yo · G · b	31	9-01	76	—	—	51.2	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:30 Ayr on 6 July 2026?

Manila Scouse (GB) won the 16:30 Ayr at SP 8.50. Ridden by Sean Kirrane. Trained by Tim Easterby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Parisiac) finished 10.

What were the placings in the 16:30 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Manila Scouse (GB) (8.50), 2. Territorial Knight (GB) (12.00), 3. Rousing Encore (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:30 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 10.29s, 1.29s slower than standard.

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