Who won the 14:30 Ayr on 6 July 2026?
Redline (GB) won the 14:30 Ayr at SP 5.00. Ridden by Andrew Mullen. Trained by Charlie Johnston.
14:30 Ayr
EBF Stallions Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners · £5,400 · Monday, 6 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stRedline (GB)Andrew Mullen·Charlie Johnston4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndTen Clarets (IRE)Clifford Lee·K R Burke·beaten 0.3 lengths5/6F·1.83SP
- 3rdAurora Valkyrie (IRE)Kaiya Fraser·Katie Scott·beaten 4 lengths50/1·51.00SP
Race time
1m 29.65s+3.05s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Redline (GB))
“Set the pace throughout - urged forward over 1f out - challenged hard in the final furlong but dug deep to hold on”
AI top-rated Too Many Spirits (score 47.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way47.5/100 rating
Too Many Spirits
10.00SmarketsSBK
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Too Many Spirits
David Nolan · Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 47.5 · +12.0 clear of next best (35.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong45d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight70strongLast 6: 5-2-2
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight0small sample (n=9)Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood: 0/9 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 10.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 4th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.06
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.92
High (8–10)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5 2yo · F · ch | 1 | — | 35.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 4 | — | 27.5 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Katie Scott · draw 8 2yo · F · ch | 85 | — | 18.7 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: David Nolan · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 3 2yo · G · b | 522 | 75 | 47.5 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 1 2yo · F · gr | — | — | 20.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 2 | — | 29.6 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 7 2yo · G · b | — | — | 18.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 9 2yo · G · b | — | — | 20.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 10 2yo · G · b | — | — | 20.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 20.0 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Too Many Spirits) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 14:30 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Redline (GB) (5.00), 2. Ten Clarets (IRE) (1.83), 3. Aurora Valkyrie (IRE) (51.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:30 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 29.65s, 3.05s slower than standard.
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