Who won the 17:30 Ayr on 6 July 2026?
Ebony Maw (GB) won the 17:30 Ayr at SP 11.00. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Ewan Whillans.
17:30 Ayr
Dream Weddings At Western House Hotel Handicap
1m5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners · £4,123 · Monday, 6 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stEbony Maw (GB)Connor Beasley·Ewan Whillans10/1·11.00SP
- 2ndElemental Eye (GB)Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten .75 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdAnnandale (IRE)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten .5 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
2m 52.67s+6.67s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Ebony Maw (GB))
“Led throughout - driven along 2f out - found more to the line”
AI top-rated Is She Now (score 57.1) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way55.4/100 rating
Elemental Eye
5.00SmarketsSBK
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Is She Now
David Nolan · Daragh Bourke · 8yo
Top-rated of 9
score 57.1 · +1.7 clear of next best (55.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=2)Daragh Bourke: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong6d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight64averageLast 6: 4-9-0-1-1
- Ratings50% weight35weakOR 52
MarketBest price 3.50 (SmarketsSBK) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 1m5f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.86
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.14
High (7–9)
IV 1.03
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 29 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 1 9yo · G · btb | 39743 | 52 | 40.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 8 5yo · G · bb | 75531 | 67 | 55.4 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6 8yo · G · ch | 862413 | 59 | 45.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: David Nolan · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 7 8yo · M · ch | 49011 | 52 | 57.1 | EvensF·2.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Joanna Mason · T: David Loughnane · draw 2 3yo · G · bt | 846P0 | 58 | 36.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4 8yo · M · b | 12334 | 52 | 45.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 5 9yo · G · b | 94357 | 55 | 39.6 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 9 3yo · F · ch | 434222 | 59 | 46.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| — | — | J: · T: Wilf Storey · draw 3 5yo · M · gr | 76654 | 61 | 33.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:30 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Is She Now) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 17:30 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Ebony Maw (GB) (11.00), 2. Elemental Eye (GB) (5.50), 3. Annandale (IRE) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:30 Ayr?
The winning time was 2m 52.67s, 6.67s slower than standard.
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