15:30 Ayr

Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th

1st
Native Honey (IRE)
Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie
10/1·11.00
SP
2nd
Emery Down (GB)
Sean D Bowen·John Ryan·beaten .75 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP
3rd
Abduction (FR)
Jake Dickson·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.2 lengths
4/1·5.00
SP

Race time

1m 28.46s+1.86s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Native Honey (IRE))

“Up with the pace - roused 2f out - hit the front over 1f out and ran on strongly”

AI top-rated Slack Bob (score 67.3) finished 6th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way67.3/100 rating

Slack Bob

6.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Slack Bob

Clifford Lee · Ed Dunlop · 3yo

Top-rated of 12

score 67.3 · +8.4 clear of next best (58.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
25d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
95very strong
Ed Dunlop: 5/13 winners last 14d (38%)
Form20% weight
73strong
Last 6: 4-3-2-1-3
Ratings50% weight
47below average
OR 71

MarketBest price 6.00 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.06

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.92

High (9–12)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Native Honey J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2 4yo · G · b	07100	9-12	70	—	—	44.2	10/1·11.00 SP
2	11	Emery Down J: Sean D Bowen · T: John Ryan · draw 3 4yo · F · chp	78544	8-13	57	—	—	36.1	11/1·12.00 SP
3	1	Abduction J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 10 8yo · G · b	187733	10-02	74	—	—	46.6	4/1·5.00 SP
4	5	Ashen J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 11 4yo · G · ch	77313	9-09	67	—	—	51.2	2/1F·3.00 SP
5	7	Qazaq J: Mark Winn · T: Iain Jardine · draw 5 5yo · G · b	264530	9-05	63	—	—	48.4	9/2·5.50 SP
6	8	Slack Bob J: Clifford Lee · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 12 3yo · G · b	43213	9-05	71	—	—	67.3	15/2·8.50 SP
7	10	Born A Star J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 8 3yo · G · b	04688	9-01	67	—	—	39.5	50/1·51.00 SP
8	4	Eve's Boy J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 6 4yo · G · b	777266	9-09	67	—	—	42.3	11/1·12.00 SP
9	12	Whiskey Kisses J: James Sullivan · T: R Mike Smith · draw 4 3yo · F · b	23460	8-13	65	—	—	41.2	125/1·126.00 SP
10	2	The Gay Blade J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 9 7yo · G · b	261115	9-13	71	—	—	58.9	10/1·11.00 SP
11	9	Keep Me Stable J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Linda Perratt · draw 1 6yo · M · b	11137	9-04	62	—	—	42.9	66/1·67.00 SP
—	—	Blakefell J: · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 7 3yo · G · b	92163	9-09	75	—	—	46.2	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:30 Ayr on 6 July 2026?

Native Honey (IRE) won the 15:30 Ayr at SP 11.00. Ridden by Paul Mulrennan. Trained by Jim Goldie.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Slack Bob) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 15:30 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Native Honey (IRE) (11.00), 2. Emery Down (GB) (12.00), 3. Abduction (FR) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:30 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 28.46s, 1.86s slower than standard.

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