15:00 Ayr

racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap

1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 12 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th

1st
Royal Blaze (GB)
David Nolan·Ewan Whillans
11/1·12.00
SP
2nd
Condotti (IRE)
Clifford Lee·Hugo Palmer·beaten 1.5 lengths
5/1·6.00
SP
3rd
Tee Aitch Aye (IRE)
Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten 0.1 lengths
9/1·10.00
SP

Race time

2m 8.42s+3.42s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Royal Blaze (GB))

“Raced in mid-division - made headway over 1f out - soon lacking room for a moment before being driven along once in space in the final furlong - hit the front near the finish”

AI top-rated Falcon Nine (score 52.8) finished 9th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 22.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way52.8/100 rating

Falcon Nine

10.00William Hill

Place portion settles at 2.80 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Falcon Nine

Billy Garritty · Iain Jardine · 6yo

Top-rated of 12

score 52.8 · +4.6 clear of next best (48.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
19d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
70strong
Iain Jardine: 10/36 winners last 14d (28%)
Form20% weight
44below average
Last 6: 4-7-7-2-4
Ratings50% weight
40below average
OR 60

MarketBest price 10.00 (William Hill) · 4th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–4)

IV 0.76

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.06

High (9–12)

IV 1.20

Today: Falcon Nine (draw 12) and Rumbustious (draw 10) get the bias; Naturalia (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 57 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	7	Royal Blaze J: David Nolan · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 1 5yo · G · btp	44839	9-11	57	—	—	36.8	11/1·12.00 SP
2	4	Condotti J: Clifford Lee · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6 4yo · G · bp	60493	10-00	60	—	—	42.9	5/1·6.00 SP
3	6	Tee Aitch Aye J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 7 5yo · G · b	58076	9-13	59	—	—	46.5	9/1·10.00 SP
4	2	Naturalia J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Donald Whillans · draw 3 5yo · M · b	296222	10-02	62	—	—	43.2	6/1·7.00 SP
5	11	Shifter J: Paula Muir(3) · T: Wilf Storey · draw 11 7yo · M · b	985423	9-03	49	—	—	33.3	3/1F·4.00 SP
6	5	Sweet Kiss J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 4yo · F · b	27945	10-00	60	—	—	39.6	7/1·8.00 SP
7	8	Tap Dancer J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2 4yo · F · b	58746	9-10	56	—	—	40.2	10/1·11.00 SP
8	10	Storm On Jura J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4 4yo · F · b	90964	9-04	50	—	—	34.5	20/1·21.00 SP
9	3	Falcon Nine J: Billy Garritty · T: Iain Jardine · draw 12 6yo · G · chb	47724	10-00	60	—	—	52.8	22/1·23.00 SP
10	9	Rumbustious J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 10 3yo · C · b	34424	9-09	65	—	—	48.1	11/2·6.50 SP
11	12	Parole Officer J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 9 3yo · G · bpFT P	65499	9-02	58	—	—	36.4	100/1·101.00 SP
12	1	Hill O Rue J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 8 4yo · G · btFT TFirst after wind op	54197	10-02	62	—	—	39.6	33/1·34.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:00 Ayr on 6 July 2026?

Royal Blaze (GB) won the 15:00 Ayr at SP 12.00. Ridden by David Nolan. Trained by Ewan Whillans.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Falcon Nine) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 15:00 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Royal Blaze (GB) (12.00), 2. Condotti (IRE) (6.00), 3. Tee Aitch Aye (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:00 Ayr?

The winning time was 2m 8.42s, 3.42s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org