15:00

Ayr

Great Britain

racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap

Monday, 6 July 2026

1m2f·Flat·Class 6·Good·12 runners·£3,664

DrawModerate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20)· 57 races · full map →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.050.1/100 rating

Rumbustious

5.00Bet365· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1

No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way50.1/100 rating

Rumbustious

5.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Rumbustious

Connor Beasley · Charlie Johnston · 3yo

50.1/100

+6.9 vs next best (43.2)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
55average
Last 6: 3-4-4-2-4
Ratings50% weight
43below average
OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
38below average
Charlie Johnston: 10/68 winners last 14d (15%)

MarketBest price 5.00 (Bet365) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(6)
1Hill O Rue 2Naturalia 3Falcon Nine 4Condotti 9Rumbustious 10Storm On Jura
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(5)
5Sweet Kiss 6Tee Aitch Aye 7Royal Blaze 8Tap Dancer 11Shifter
Unknown(1)
12Parole Officer

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners

#	Dr	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best price
1	8	Hill O Rue 4yo · G · btFT TFirst after wind op	Tom Eaves Kevin Ryan	54197	10-02	62	—	—	42.6	20/1·21.60	14/1·15.00Bet365
2	3	Naturalia 5yo · M · b	Shay Farmer(5) Donald Whillans	296222	10-02	62	—	—	43.2	11/2·6.48	4/1·5.00Bet365
3	12	Falcon Nine 6yo · G · chb	Billy Garritty Iain Jardine	47724	10-00	60	—	—	42.8	12/1·13.68	9/1·10.00William Hill
4	6	Condotti 4yo · G · bp	Clifford Lee Hugo Palmer	60493	10-00	60	—	—	42.9	5/1·5.76	4.9·4.90Betfair Exchange
5	5	Sweet Kiss 4yo · F · b	Jake Dickson(7) Tim Easterby	27945	10-00	60	—	—	38.1	11/1·11.52	9·10.00SmarketsSBK
6	7	Tee Aitch Aye 5yo · G · b	Andrew Mullen Iain Jardine	58076	9-13	59	—	—	36.5	18/1·18.72	16·17.00SmarketsSBK
7	1	Royal Blaze 5yo · G · btp	David Nolan Ewan Whillans	44839	9-11	57	—	—	35.8	16/1·17.28	14/1·15.00Bet365
8	2	Tap Dancer 4yo · F · b	Paul Mulrennan Jim Goldie	58746	9-10	56	—	—	42.2	12/1·13.68	12·13.00SmarketsSBK
9	10	Rumbustious 3yo · C · b	Connor Beasley Charlie Johnston	34424	9-09	65	—	—	50.1	11/2·6.48	4/1·5.00Bet365
10	4	Storm On Jura 4yo · F · b	Lauren Young(5) Jim Goldie	90964	9-04	50	—	—	33.5	33/1·37.44	25/1·26.00Bet365
11	11	Shifter 7yo · M · b	Paula Muir(3) Wilf Storey	985423	9-03	49	—	—	33.3	11/1·11.52	10·11.00SmarketsSBK
12	9	Parole Officer 3yo · G · bpFT P	Greg Fairley Ewan Whillans	65499	9-02	58	—	—	31.4	66/1·73.44	66/1·67.00Bet365

Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30–31 bookmakers per horse with the 44% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap?

The racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap is off at 15:00 on 6 July 2026 at Ayr (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:00 Ayr?

1m2f, Class 6, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:00 Ayr?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:00 Ayr?

The AI top-rated runner is Rumbustious (score 50.1, best price 5.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:00 Ayr?

The market favourite is Condotti at a best price of 4.90. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Rumbustious.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org