16:00 Ayr

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1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th

1st
Ey Up He's A Star (GB)
David Nolan·Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
9/2·5.50
SP
2nd
Carmel Valley (IRE)
Joanna Mason·Katie Scott·beaten .5 lengths
22/1·23.00
SP
3rd
Flying Moonlight (IRE)
James Sullivan·Sandy Thomson·beaten 1.5 lengths
15/2·8.50
SP

Race time

1m 41.80s+4.70s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Ey Up He's A Star (GB))

“Raced in mid-division - urged forward and made headway 2f out - up to second 1f out and closing on the pacesetter in the final furlong - hit the front near the finish”

AI top-rated Hunterian (score 50.7) finished 6th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way41.8/100 rating

Hey Havana

5.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Hunterian

Sean D Bowen · Charlie Johnston · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 50.7 · +4.5 clear of next best (46.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
71strong
Last 6: 2-3-6-3-2-1
Ratings50% weight
42below average
OR 63
Trainer20% weight
28weak
Charlie Johnston: 8/70 winners last 14d (11%)

MarketBest price 3.25 (SmarketsSBK) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.06

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.92

High (9–11)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Ey Up He's A Star J: David Nolan · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 10 4yo · G · bp	73893	9-11	58	—	—	35.9	9/2·5.50 SP
2	9	Carmel Valley J: Joanna Mason · T: Katie Scott · draw 3 3yo · F · br	7767	9-06	62	—	—	38.0	22/1·23.00 SP
3	11	Flying Moonlight J: James Sullivan · T: Sandy Thomson · draw 6 3yo · G · b	7773	8-06	48	—	—	32.6	15/2·8.50 SP
4	2	Penelope's Sister J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5 6yo · M · b	67985	10-00	61	—	—	40.3	7/2F·4.50 SP
5	10	Hey Havana J: Clifford Lee · T: Geoffrey Harker · draw 9 3yo · G · b	43252	9-03	59	—	—	41.8	4/1·5.00 SP
6	8	Hunterian J: Sean D Bowen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 8 3yo · C · br	236321	9-07	63	—	—	50.7	4/1·5.00 SP
7	6	Concert Boy J: Greg Fairley · T: Katie Scott · draw 4 6yo · G · b	526408	9-08	55	—	—	37.0	50/1·51.00 SP
8	1	Starliner J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Linda Perratt · draw 11 5yo · G · brpFT P	541938	10-02	63	—	—	37.2	10/1·11.00 SP
9	4	Lightning Galaxy J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 7 4yo · G · bt	70995	9-10	57	—	—	37.3	10/1·11.00 SP
10	5	Lovette J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2 4yo · F · btpFT TP	94086	9-10	57	—	—	46.1	28/1·29.00 SP
—	—	Filly Eilish J: · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 1 3yo · F · b	3266	9-08	64	—	—	37.0	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:00 Ayr on 6 July 2026?

Ey Up He's A Star (GB) won the 16:00 Ayr at SP 5.50. Ridden by David Nolan. Trained by Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Hunterian) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:00 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Ey Up He's A Star (GB) (5.50), 2. Carmel Valley (IRE) (23.00), 3. Flying Moonlight (IRE) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:00 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 41.80s, 4.70s slower than standard.

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