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RacingAlpha

19:50 Brighton

Fairplay Lets Bet On It! Handicap

1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £3,454 · Tuesday, 7 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Gone Rogue (IRE)
    Tom Queally·Gary & Josh Moore
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Bownder (IRE)
    Rob Hornby·Jonathan Portman·beaten 1 length
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Super Hit (FR)AI top pick · 47.8
    Christian Howarth·James Owen·beaten .5 lengths
    13/8F·2.62
    SP
Race time
2m 4.73s+7.43s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Gone Rogue (IRE))

Bumped at the start - tracked the pace - short of room with 2f to run - angled right and struck the front entering the final furlong - ran on gamely to score

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way47.1/100 rating
Gone Rogue
7.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.30 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Super Hit

Christian Howarth(3) · James Owen · 5yo

Top-rated of 7
score 47.8 · +0.7 clear of next best (47.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    6d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    53average
    Last 6: 7-2-6-7-4-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    James Owen: 10/52 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 62
MarketBest price 3.35 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Brighton 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.89
High (6–7)
IV 1.15

Today: Super Hit (draw 6) and Pershalla (draw 7) get the bias; Bownder (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 83 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Tom Queally · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 3
5yo · G · b
12256
6247.1
11/2·6.50
SP
21
J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 5
4yo · G · b
820033
6540.0
9/1·10.00
SP
35
J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: James Owen · draw 6
5yo · G · bht
726741
6247.8
13/8F·2.62
SP
42
J: Jason Watson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 4
4yo · G · bp
159025
6537.3
17/2·9.50
SP
53
J: Finley Marsh · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 7
4yo · F · bh
01279
6338.0
11/1·12.00
SP
67
6yo · G · bb
330897
5638.9
14/1·15.00
SP
76
J: Jack Doughty · T: Tony Carroll · draw 2
10yo · G · b
654452
5846.5
3/1·4.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:50 Brighton on 7 July 2026?

Gone Rogue (IRE) won the 19:50 Brighton at SP 6.50. Ridden by Tom Queally. Trained by Gary & Josh Moore.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:50 Brighton?

No — the AI top pick (Super Hit) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:50 Brighton?

Top finishers: 1. Gone Rogue (IRE) (6.50), 2. Bownder (IRE) (10.00), 3. Super Hit (FR) (2.62).

What was the winning time for the 19:50 Brighton?

The winning time was 2m 4.73s, 7.43s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org