Who won the 19:20 Brighton on 7 July 2026?
Dion Baker (IRE) won the 19:20 Brighton at SP 2.38. Ridden by Darragh Keenan. Trained by Michael Wigham.
19:20 Brighton
Watch Live Racing On fairplaybet.co.uk Handicap
7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £3,454 · Tuesday, 7 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 11/8·2.38Race report
- 1stDion Baker (IRE)AI top pick · 64.2Darragh Keenan·Michael Wigham11/8·2.38SP
- 2ndPrefer The Sister (IRE)Paddy Bradley·James Owen·beaten 1.25 lengths4/5F·1.80SP
- 3rdDalmally (GB)Thomas Greatrex·Mark Pattinson·beaten 3 lengths50/1·51.00SP
Race time
1m 20.93s+2.23s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Dion Baker (IRE))
“Set the pace from the outset - shaken up over 1f out - responded strongly inside the final furlong to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way64.2/100 rating
Dion Baker
4.90Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Dion Baker
Darragh Keenan · Michael Wigham · 7yo
Top-rated of 9
score 64.2 · +13.2 clear of next best (51.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=8)Michael Wigham: 4/8 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight88very strongLast 6: 4-1-1-1-3-1
- Freshness10% weight70strong5d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 59 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 4.90 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Brighton 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.97
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.93
High (7–9)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 152 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Wigham · draw 3 7yo · G · bp | 411131 | 59 | 64.2 | 11/8·2.38 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: James Owen · draw 9 6yo · M · bt | 074231 | 53 | 45.8 | 4/5F·1.80 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Thomas Greatrex · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 78586 | 57 | 31.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 4 7yo · G · ch | 774503 | 45 | 31.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Michael Attwater · draw 7 4yo · G · bp | 77473F | 55 | 35.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: David Egan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 6 9yo · G · chp | 314224 | 57 | 51.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 8 4yo · F · bv | 3874 | 51 | 31.6 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5 3yo · G · bp | 66664 | 58 | 35.0 | — |
| — | — | J: William Carson · T: John O'Shea · draw 2 7yo · G · grp | 516357 | 54 | 50.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:20 Brighton?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Dion Baker, won the race (AI score 64.2).
What were the placings in the 19:20 Brighton?
Top finishers: 1. Dion Baker (IRE) (2.38), 2. Prefer The Sister (IRE) (1.80), 3. Dalmally (GB) (51.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:20 Brighton?
The winning time was 1m 20.93s, 2.23s slower than standard.
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