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Next · 8h 35m17:10Lingfield (AW)

18:20 Brighton

Bet Now With fairplaybet.co.uk Classified Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £3,454 · Tuesday, 7 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Bated Breeze (IRE)
    David Egan·Gary & Josh Moore
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Valsharah (IRE)
    Jason Watson·Michael Appleby·beaten 1 length
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Coast (GB)
    Christian Howarth·Scott Dixon·beaten .5 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 9.38s+2.18s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Bated Breeze (IRE))

Racing up with the pace - went to the front drifting right with 1f to run - responded strongly inside the final furlong to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way53.0/100 rating
Some Nightmare
14.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Some Nightmare

William Carson · John O'Shea · 9yo

Top-rated of 13
score 53.0 · +10.3 clear of next best (42.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=4)
    John O'Shea: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    10d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 8-4-3-5-4-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 50 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 14.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 5th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Brighton 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 1.06
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.94
High (10–13)
IV 0.99

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 114 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: David Egan · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 6
5yo · G · b
93306
4637.3
9/2·5.50
SP
213
J: Jason Watson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 8
4yo · G · grtbFT TB
460442
5036.8
6/4F·2.50
SP
35
7yo · M · bb
743605
4429.9
11/1·12.00
SP
43
J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Jim Boyle · draw 13
5yo · G · gr
78714
4942.7
16/1·17.00
SP
51
5yo · G · b
62241
5038.2
7/4·2.75
SP
62
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Jim Boyle · draw 9
4yo · F · chh
67984
4626.8
22/1·23.00
SP
710
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Scott Dixon · draw 11
7yo · G · b
899097
3826.7
80/1·81.00
SP
89
J: Alice Bond(5) · T: Jack Jones · draw 2
4yo · F · b
056965
4732.7
20/1·21.00
SP
97
J: Finley Marsh · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 10
4yo · G · gr
189970
5025.4
22/1·23.00
SP
106
J: Rob Hornby · T: Mark Rimell · draw 12
4yo · G · b
95880
4142.5
40/1·41.00
SP
118
J: Josephine Gordon · T: Keiran Burke · draw 1
4yo · F · bbFT B
753009
4527.8
66/1·67.00
SP
J: William Carson · T: John O'Shea · draw 7
9yo · G · bp
843543
5053.0
J: Jack Doughty · T: Tony Carroll · draw 3
5yo · G · brh
579618
5041.0

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:20 Brighton on 7 July 2026?

Bated Breeze (IRE) won the 18:20 Brighton at SP 5.50. Ridden by David Egan. Trained by Gary & Josh Moore.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:20 Brighton?

No — the AI top pick (Some Nightmare) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 18:20 Brighton?

Top finishers: 1. Bated Breeze (IRE) (5.50), 2. Valsharah (IRE) (2.50), 3. Coast (GB) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:20 Brighton?

The winning time was 1m 9.38s, 2.18s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org