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RacingAlpha

16:48 Pontefract

Tallbaldybloke Three Score And Ten Birthday Handicap

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 7 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Hover On The Wind (IRE)
    David Nolan·Paul Midgley
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dream Deal (GB)
    David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 1 length
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Betweenthesticks (GB)
    James Sullivan·Ruth Carr·beaten .5 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 1.88s+0.58s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Hover On The Wind (IRE))

“Up with the pace - went to the front over 1f out under a nudge - kept on well to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way48.4/100 rating
Sea Her Excel
13.00BetWright
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Sea Her Excel

Elle-May Croot(5) · Ivan Furtado · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 48.4 · +1.3 clear of next best (47.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    53average
    Last 6: 3-0-3-1-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 64
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Ivan Furtado: 5/39 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 13.00 (BetWright) · 5th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Pontefract 5f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.98
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.19
High (8–10)
IV 0.85

Today: Dream Deal (draw 6) and Brave Empire (draw 7) get the bias; Sea Her Excel (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Hover On The Wind
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 4
6yo · G · b
730451
6642.1
11/4·3.75
SP
25
Dream Deal
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6
7yo · G · btb
90612
6247.1
5/2F·3.50
SP
32
Betweenthesticks
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 3
6yo · G · bp
112962
6940.7
7/2·4.50
SP
410
Cheerleader
J: Joanna Mason · T: Tina Jackson · draw 5
4yo · F · b
17289
5633.0
22/1·23.00
SP
56
Dandy Dinmont
J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 8
7yo · G · b
057109
6235.8
17/2·9.50
SP
63
Storm Call
J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 2
4yo · F · bv
41854
6846.9
14/1·15.00
SP
79
Brave Empire
J: Jason Hart · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 7
5yo · G · grhFT H
989054
5638.6
11/2·6.50
SP
——
Davorge Nation
J: NON-RUNNER · T: Declan Carroll · draw 1
3yo · G · ch
01376
6240.4—
——
Showtime Mahomes
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 9
7yo · G · b
41640
6334.0—
——
Sea Her Excel
J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 10
3yo · F · b
30315
6448.4—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:48 Pontefract on 7 July 2026?

Hover On The Wind (IRE) won the 16:48 Pontefract at SP 3.75. Ridden by David Nolan. Trained by Paul Midgley.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:48 Pontefract?

No — the AI top pick (Sea Her Excel) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 16:48 Pontefract?

Top finishers: 1. Hover On The Wind (IRE) (3.75), 2. Dream Deal (GB) (3.50), 3. Betweenthesticks (GB) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:48 Pontefract?

The winning time was 1m 1.88s, 0.58s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org