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16:30 Catterick

Racing Again 15th July Fillies' Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £4,711 · Wednesday, 8 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Velvet Rhythm (GB)
    Rowan Scott·Charlie Johnston
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lady Gormire (IRE)
    Sean Kirrane·Michael Dods·beaten 1.25 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Rogue Citation (IRE)AI top pick · 58.7
    P J McDonald·Edward Bethell·beaten 0.3 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
1m 23.60s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Velvet Rhythm (GB))

handy early - improved into second before the two pole - shaken up to hit the front inside the last and drew clear

Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Donna Nook

Ziggy's Queen sets the fastest figures of these on paper, but Donna Nook's progressive profile — a recent win and rarely out of the frame since — earns the nod instead. Velvet Rhythm, fresh from three wins in five starts, and Rogue Citation, a solid two-starts-back winner but returning from a break, head the list of dangers. Donna Nook, fitter and clearly progressive, is our selection in an open-looking race that only merits modest confidence.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Rogue Citation

P J McDonald · Edward Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 58.7 · +6.7 clear of next best (52.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    88very strong
    Edward Bethell: 6/17 winners last 14d (35%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    84d since last run (rusty)
  • Form20% weight
    53average
    Last 6: 3-1-6
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 72
MarketBest price 11.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 5th in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Catterick 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.02
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.13
High (5–6)
IV 0.86

Today: Rogue Citation (draw 4) and Donna Nook (draw 3) get the bias; Only Dream Big (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 98 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2
3yo · F · b
11481
7252.0
5/4F·2.25
SP
25
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 1
3yo · F · b
2823
6851.6
6/1·7.00
SP
33
J: P J McDonald · T: Edward Bethell · draw 4
3yo · F · btFT T
316
7258.7
10/1·11.00
SP
41
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 3
4yo · F · btv
329414
7351.1
7/2·4.50
SP
56
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5
3yo · F · bb
45811
6552.0
11/2·6.50
SP
62
5yo · M · bht
217985
7244.0
11/1·12.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:30 Catterick on 8 July 2026?

Velvet Rhythm (GB) won the 16:30 Catterick at SP 2.25. Ridden by Rowan Scott. Trained by Charlie Johnston.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Catterick?

No — the AI top pick (Rogue Citation) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:30 Catterick?

Top finishers: 1. Velvet Rhythm (GB) (2.25), 2. Lady Gormire (IRE) (7.00), 3. Rogue Citation (IRE) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:30 Catterick?

The winning time was 1m 23.60s.

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