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14:30 Catterick

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5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £4,004 · Wednesday, 8 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Penny Capri (IRE)
    Rowan Scott·David Loughnane
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Bellatina (GB)
    Connor Beasley·Charlie Johnston·beaten .75 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Mardy Bum (IRE)
    Mark Winn·David O'Meara·beaten .75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
59.08s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Penny Capri (IRE))

racing in the pack early - made progress passing the two-furlong marker - into second passing the furlong pole - finished strongly and hit the front inside the final 110 yards for an impressive success

AI top-rated Najmet Minzaal (score 45.7) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way44.3/100 rating
Bellatina
7.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Penny Capri

Penny Capri, our selection, is the highest-rated runner in this Catterick 5f sprint on 70, and although her recent finishing positions read only 5th and two 6ths, there's reason to think she holds more in hand than that suggests, with a first-time hood added today. Bellatina (68) is the most obvious danger, having bookended a flat patch of form with two runner-up efforts. Najmet Minzaal (67) has been a model of consistency with fourth in both starts so far and carries a smart speed figure, while Fortunate (64) also has claims on an improving profile. It's a tightly-knit sprint and confidence in Penny Capri is only medium, but her rating edge and the added headgear make her the one to side with.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Najmet Minzaal

Kevin Stott · Jack Channon · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 45.7 · +1.4 clear of next best (44.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    11d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 4-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    Jack Channon: 3/19 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketBest price 3.25 (SmarketsSBK) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Catterick 5f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.36
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.79
High (7–9)
IV 0.80

Today: Najmet Minzaal (draw 2) and Mardy Bum (draw 3) get the bias; Bellatina (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Rowan Scott · T: David Loughnane · draw 1
2yo · F · bh
665
6333.0
9/2·5.50
SP
21
J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4
2yo · F · b
2872
6544.3
5/1·6.00
SP
34
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 3
2yo · F · bh
674
6242.8
12/1·13.00
SP
45
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7
2yo · F · ch
03616
6042.1
11/1·12.00
SP
52
J: Kevin Stott · T: Jack Channon · draw 2
2yo · F · b
44
6545.7
5/2F·3.50
SP
69
J: Cam Hardie · T: Bryan Smart · draw 5
2yo · C · ch
066
4833.3
33/1·34.00
SP
77
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 9
2yo · G · ch
5380
5436.6
16/1·17.00
SP
88
J: Jason Hart · T: Jack Morland · draw 8
2yo · F · b
786
5329.3
100/30·4.33
SP
96
2yo · F · bpFT P
60045
6043.7
18/1·19.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:30 Catterick on 8 July 2026?

Penny Capri (IRE) won the 14:30 Catterick at SP 5.50. Ridden by Rowan Scott. Trained by David Loughnane.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Catterick?

No — the AI top pick (Najmet Minzaal) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 14:30 Catterick?

Top finishers: 1. Penny Capri (IRE) (5.50), 2. Bellatina (GB) (6.00), 3. Mardy Bum (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:30 Catterick?

The winning time was 59.08s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org