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RacingAlpha

20:46 Chepstow

Position Payout At bet365 Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £3,454 · Wednesday, 8 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Aravalli (IRE)
    Taylor Fisher·Joe Tickle
    33/1·34.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Captain Cairney (GB)
    Ryan Kavanagh·William Muir & Chris Grassick·beaten 0.3 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Atalanta Mist (GB)
    Ashley Lewis·Marcus Tregoning·beaten .75 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
2m 37.10s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Aravalli (IRE))

“up with the pace early - slipped back 4f out - pushed along over 2f out and found more inside final furlong - went on close home to win”

AI top-rated Ataturk (score 53.7) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.80 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way44.5/100 rating
Dash Of Class
8.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Ataturk

Ataturk, second on our figures behind Captain Cairney, is preferred as the selection on a progressive profile and a clock that backs up that improvement. He runs in a competitive Class 6 event over 12 furlongs at Chepstow where the form on offer is close, with Captain Cairney, Dash Of Class and Aravalli all boasting solid claims of their own. Confidence in the verdict is low given how tightly matched the principals are, but Ataturk's trajectory makes him our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ataturk

Rob Hornby · Hughie Morrison · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 53.7 · +3.4 clear of next best (50.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=5)
    Hughie Morrison: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    OR 58
  • Form20% weight
    37below average
    Last 6: 8-0-7-2
MarketBest price 1.78 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.21
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.02
High (6–7)
IV 0.76

Today: Aravalli (draw 1) and Dash Of Class (draw 3) get the bias; Ataturk (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Aravalli
J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 1
3yo · F · b
7449
6050.3
33/1·34.00
SP
21
Captain Cairney
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 7
3yo · G · chp
12627
6036.4
10/1·11.00
SP
35
Atalanta Mist
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 2
3yo · F · ch
95332
5337.9
3/1·4.00
SP
44
Ataturk
J: Rob Hornby · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 6
3yo · C · b
8072
5853.7
4/5F·1.80
SP
53
Houndswood Willow
J: William Cox · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 5
3yo · G · bp
74007
5831.7
33/1·34.00
SP
66
Dash Of Class
J: Jack Doughty · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 3
3yo · F · bh
43532
5344.5
9/2·5.50
SP
77
Amalfi Bluebell
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Barry Brennan · draw 4
3yo · F · b
05778
4527.9
80/1·81.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:46 Chepstow on 8 July 2026?

Aravalli (IRE) won the 20:46 Chepstow at SP 34.00. Ridden by Taylor Fisher. Trained by Joe Tickle.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:46 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Ataturk) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 20:46 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Aravalli (IRE) (34.00), 2. Captain Cairney (GB) (11.00), 3. Atalanta Mist (GB) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:46 Chepstow?

The winning time was 2m 37.10s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org