Who won the 15:45 Yarmouth on 8 July 2026?
Ancestor (GB) won the 15:45 Yarmouth at SP 13.00. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by William Haggas.
15:45 Yarmouth
Great Yarmouth Racecourse Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £6,480 · Wednesday, 8 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stAncestor (GB)Cieren Fallon·William Haggas12/1·13.00SP
- 2ndWaterford Castle (IRE)AI top pick · 59.1Billy Loughnane·George Boughey·beaten 1.75 lengths11/10F·2.10SP
- 3rdKokbastau (GB)Ray Dawson·Roger Varian·beaten 1.5 lengths2/1·3.00SP
Race time
2m 12.04s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Ancestor (GB))
“Pulled hard in the early stages - up with the pace and into the front after 4f - pressed along 2f out with a length or so in hand entering the final furlong - stayed on strongly to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.10 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Waterford Castle
Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 59.1 · +7.7 clear of next best (51.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 86 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight57averageLast 6: 2-2-2-2-7
- Trainer20% weight45below averageGeorge Boughey: 6/33 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 2.66 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.18
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.09
High (5–6)
IV 0.72
Today: Waterford Castle (draw 1) and Ancestor (draw 2) get the bias; Seacole (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 4 | — | 31.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 1 3yo · G · chp | 22227 | 86 | 59.1 | 11/10F·2.10 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 6 | — | 21.0 | 2/1·3.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 6 3yo · F · bh | 2 | — | 32.6 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: William Buick · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 262 | 80 | 51.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 93 | — | 20.4 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Yarmouth?
No — the AI top pick (Waterford Castle) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:45 Yarmouth?
Top finishers: 1. Ancestor (GB) (13.00), 2. Waterford Castle (IRE) (2.10), 3. Kokbastau (GB) (3.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Yarmouth?
The winning time was 2m 12.04s.
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