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RacingAlpha

14:45 Yarmouth

Infobond Nursery

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £4,397 · Wednesday, 8 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Dubai Charm (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·Richard Hughes
    11/4F·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    My Maria (IRE)
    Kieran Shoemark·Archie Watson·beaten 1.25 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Holi Scarlett (IRE)
    William Buick·Stuart Williams·beaten 1.25 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
Race time
1m 0.25s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Dubai Charm (IRE))

Settled in mid-division - pressed along 2f out and angled right to make progress entering the final furlong - went to the front and stayed on strongly to win

AI top-rated Or Another (score 53.5) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way53.5/100 rating
Or Another
6.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Sable Island

Sable Island tops our figures by some distance on a rating of 88, well clear of this Yarmouth field, though that gap looks wider than her recent finishing positions might suggest and only a low confidence tag goes with the selection. Dubai Charm, Holi Scarlett and Fly Test all sit much closer together on more solid recent form and are the biggest dangers if the figures overstate the case. Sable Island remains the selection on the book, but this looks a sprint where the in-form types could easily turn it around.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Or Another

Sam James · K. R. Burke · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 53.5 · +6.3 clear of next best (47.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    42d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    60average
    K. R. Burke: 12/50 winners last 14d (24%)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: 3-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    46below average
    OR 69
MarketBest price 6.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 5f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.37
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.88
High (7–8)
IV 0.70

Today: Or Another (draw 3) and Fly Test (draw 2) get the bias; Dubai Charm (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 146 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Richard Hughes · draw 7
2yo · F · b
230
7543.6
11/4F·3.75
SP
26
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Archie Watson · draw 4
2yo · F · b
43
6744.8
100/30·4.33
SP
33
J: William Buick · T: Stuart Williams · draw 8
2yo · F · ch
7631
6443.5
100/30·4.33
SP
42
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Michael Bell · draw 2
2yo · G · b
082
7243.5
6/1·7.00
SP
57
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Jack Morland · draw 1
2yo · F · b
438
6637.0
16/1·17.00
SP
65
J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 6
2yo · F · bpFT P
337
6847.2
18/1·19.00
SP
74
J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 3
2yo · C · grvFT V
34
6953.5
6/1·7.00
SP
88
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Philip McBride · draw 5
2yo · F · b
500
5727.0
33/1·34.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:45 Yarmouth on 8 July 2026?

Dubai Charm (IRE) won the 14:45 Yarmouth at SP 3.75. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Richard Hughes.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Yarmouth?

No — the AI top pick (Or Another) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 14:45 Yarmouth?

Top finishers: 1. Dubai Charm (IRE) (3.75), 2. My Maria (IRE) (4.33), 3. Holi Scarlett (IRE) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 14:45 Yarmouth?

The winning time was 1m 0.25s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org