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16:15 Yarmouth

Marine Lodge Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £3,768 · Wednesday, 8 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/5F·1.40
  1. 1st
    Prefer The Sister (IRE)AI top pick · 47.4
    Mason Paetel·James Owen
    2/5F·1.40
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Charlatan (IRE)
    Daniel Muscutt·David Simcock·beaten 2 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Rokuni (IRE)
    Christian Howarth·Charlie Wallis·beaten 3.5 lengths
    50/1·51.00
    SP
Race time
1m 36.27s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Prefer The Sister (IRE))

Struck a good rhythm early - sat up with the pace - asserted for effort 2f out to move in front - found more in the final furlong to score comfortably

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.40 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Prefer The Sister

Prefer The Sister rates well clear of this modest Yarmouth field on our figures, with a healthy margin over the rest. Bizarre Law, Regal Guest and Charlatan represent the chief dangers and none can be dismissed lightly in a race of this depth, but their figures fall short of the selection's. Prefer The Sister is our selection, and a confident one at that.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Prefer The Sister

Mason Paetel(5) · James Owen · 6yo

Top-rated of 6
score 47.4 · +5.2 clear of next best (42.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    74strong
    Last 6: 7-4-2-3-1-2
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    1d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    James Owen: 9/55 winners last 14d (16%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    35below average
    OR 53 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 1.50 (Unibet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.08
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.02
High (5–6)
IV 0.89

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 189 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: James Owen · draw 1
6yo · M · bhtFT HT
742312
5347.4
2/5F·1.40
SP
23
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: David Simcock · draw 5
6yo · G · ch
72545
5133.4
12/1·13.00
SP
36
4yo · G · grtv
00096
4523.6
50/1·51.00
SP
44
7yo · G · bp
934170
5042.2
9/2·5.50
SP
55
8yo · M · b
64562
4834.9
15/2·8.50
SP
62
J: Harry Burns(3) · T: George Margarson · draw 4
4yo · G · bp
75067
5228.9
50/1·51.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:15 Yarmouth on 8 July 2026?

Prefer The Sister (IRE) won the 16:15 Yarmouth at SP 1.40. Ridden by Mason Paetel. Trained by James Owen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Yarmouth?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Prefer The Sister, won the race (AI score 47.4).

What were the placings in the 16:15 Yarmouth?

Top finishers: 1. Prefer The Sister (IRE) (1.40), 2. Charlatan (IRE) (13.00), 3. Rokuni (IRE) (51.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:15 Yarmouth?

The winning time was 1m 36.27s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org