Who won the 15:10 Carlisle on 9 July 2026?
Wolf Of Badenoch (GB) won the 15:10 Carlisle at SP 4.33. Ridden by Stevie Donohoe. Trained by Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay.
15:10 Carlisle
Muckle Handicap
1m3f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £3,402 · Thursday, 9 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stWolf Of Badenoch (GB)Stevie Donohoe·Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay10/3·4.33SP
- 2ndIs She Now (IRE)AI top pick · 56.8David Nolan·Daragh Bourke·beaten .75 lengthsEvensF·2.00SP
- 3rdHijo De La Luna (GER)Andrew Elliott·Simon West·beaten 1.5 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
2m 25.10s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Wolf Of Badenoch (GB))
“raced freely early - settled towards the back - made good progress 3f out and was roused along over 2f out - driven to the front over the final furlong - stayed on strongly to the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way39.7/100 rating
Fleur De Mer
8.00Virgin Bet
Place portion settles at 2.75 · 1/4 odds · 2 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Wolf of Badenoch
Wolf of Badenoch heads our ratings for this Class 6 contest over 11f at Carlisle on good going, rated 70 to Fleur de Mer's 68 in a seven-runner field. Ottoman and Is She Now complete the group of leading dangers, keeping the form tightly packed towards the head of the field. Confidence is only moderate given how closely matched the principals are on figures, but the rating edge is enough to make Wolf of Badenoch our selection, with Fleur de Mer his biggest danger.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Is She Now
David Nolan · Daragh Bourke · 8yo
Top-rated of 7
score 56.8 · +17.0 clear of next best (39.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=2)Daragh Bourke: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong3d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight62averageLast 6: 9-0-1-1-4
- Ratings50% weight35weakOR 52
MarketBest price 2.50 (Bet365) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 1m3f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.31).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.31
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.89
High (6–7)
IV 0.75
Today: Fleur De Mer (draw 1) and Wolf Of Badenoch (draw 3) get the bias; Is She Now (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 52 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay · draw 3 4yo · G · ch | 70436 | 60 | 36.5 | 10/3·4.33 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: David Nolan · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 6 8yo · M · ch | 90114 | 52 | 56.8 | EvensF·2.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Andrew Elliott · T: Simon West · draw 4 6yo · G · bv | 818446 | 48 | 33.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Martin Todhunter · draw 1 6yo · M · grp | 33236 | 59 | 39.7 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Thomas Greatrex · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 7 4yo · G · bbFT B | 50832 | 53 | 36.9 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Mark Winn · T: John Norton · draw 5 4yo · G · chp | 95400 | 45 | 26.2 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 02370 | 47 | 33.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:10 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Is She Now) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:10 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Wolf Of Badenoch (GB) (4.33), 2. Is She Now (IRE) (2.00), 3. Hijo De La Luna (GER) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:10 Carlisle?
The winning time was 2m 25.10s.
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