Who won the 15:45 Carlisle on 9 July 2026?
Great (GB) won the 15:45 Carlisle at SP 10.00. Ridden by Jonathan England. Trained by Sam England.
15:45 Carlisle
Rachael Bell Wealth Management Handicap
6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £3,402 · Thursday, 9 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 9/1·10.00Race report
- 1stGreat (GB)AI top pick · 50.2Jonathan England·Sam England9/1·10.00SP
- 2ndMr Cool (IRE)Jason Hart·Charlie Johnston·beaten 0.1 lengths10/3·4.33SP
- 3rdMiss Rainbow (IRE)Barry McHugh·Tracy Waggott·beaten 2.5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
1m 11.03s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Great (GB))
“dwelt at the start - settled towards the back - travelling comfortably 2f out - urged forward and made good progress over the final furlong - disputed the advantage inside the closing stages before staying on strongly to hit the front in the final strides”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way50.2/100 rating
Great
11.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 3.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Catalyse
This is a tightly-packed Class 6 sprint over 6f at Carlisle on good going, with Catalyse sharing the top rating of 70 alongside Great and Mr Cool, and Bay Breeze just a pound behind on 69. Those four principals are separated by almost nothing on our figures, but Catalyse gets the nod as our selection from that leading group. Great and Mr Cool are the most obvious dangers on identical figures, with Bay Breeze also among the leading dangers. Confidence is only moderate in a race this competitive, though Catalyse's own claims are solid enough to take on the remaining seven rivals.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Great
Jonathan England · Sam England · 4yo
Top-rated of 11
score 50.2 · +2.5 clear of next best (47.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight78strongSam England: 5/16 winners last 14d (31%)
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
- Form20% weight20weakLast 6: 0-6-3-7-8-7
MarketBest price 11.00 (Bet365) · 6th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.10
High (9–11)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Jonathan England · T: Sam England · draw 10 4yo · G · b | 063787 | 62 | 50.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Jason Hart · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 256735 | 63 | 45.5 | 10/3·4.33 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Tracy Waggott · draw 9 5yo · M · bb | 635210 | 61 | 37.3 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 7yo · G · bp | 06734 | 62 | 41.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 1 7yo · M · grtp | 30505 | 51 | 31.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 8 6yo · G · bp | 128866 | 63 | 47.7 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Michael Wigham · draw 7 5yo · G · bt | 133101 | 60 | 43.3 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 3 3yo · F · bvFT V | 149509 | 58 | 32.8 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: William Pyle · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 11 3yo · F · ch | 3350 | 53 | 38.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Mark Winn · T: Helen Cuthbert · draw 6 6yo · G · bv | 326686 | 57 | 42.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 11 | 1 | J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5 4yo · G · chp | 00076 | 65 | 42.3 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Carlisle?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Great, won the race (AI score 50.2).
What were the placings in the 15:45 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Great (GB) (10.00), 2. Mr Cool (IRE) (4.33), 3. Miss Rainbow (IRE) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 11.03s.
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