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Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £4,449 · Thursday, 9 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Zurna (GB)
    Dylan Hogan·Julia & Shelley Birkett
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tai Hang Pegasus (USA)
    Paddy Bradley·Charlie Fellowes·beaten 1.5 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Society Girl (GB)
    Ashley Lewis·Ed Walker·beaten 0.05 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
Race time
2m 49.77s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Zurna (GB))

Travelled in second early - closed on the front-runner 3f out - roused to go to the front over 2f out - edged left over 1f out but stayed on inside the final furlong to win

AI top-rated Darkest Red (score 52.9) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Celestarak

Celestarak is clear at the top of our figures for this Class 5 12f at Epsom, rated 5 lb above a trio of rivals bunched together on 75. Tai Hang Pegasus, Darkest Red and Society Girl are all rated level and any of them could emerge to give the selection most to do, while Zurna brings up the rear on our figures. That rating advantage makes Celestarak our confident selection in a race that otherwise looks competitive.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Darkest Red

Callum Hutchinson · Jim Boyle · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 52.9 · +2.9 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    66strong
    Last 6: 7-6-2-2-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Jim Boyle: 3/17 winners last 14d (18%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 62
MarketBest price 5.00 (Midnite) · 3rd in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Epsom Downs 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.99
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.87
High (5–5)
IV 1.14

Today: Zurna (draw 5) gets the bias; Celestarak (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
3yo · G · b
972
7250.0
9/2·5.50
SP
21
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 4
3yo · G · b
36476
7342.1
9/1·10.00
SP
34
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Ed Walker · draw 2
3yo · F · b
4780
6839.3
15/2·8.50
SP
45
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Jim Boyle · draw 1
3yo · G · b
76222
6252.9
7/2·4.50
SP
53
J: Jack Doughty · T: David Menuisier · draw 3
3yo · G · bh
58091
7147.8
EvensF·2.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:05 Epsom Downs on 9 July 2026?

Zurna (GB) won the 18:05 Epsom Downs at SP 5.50. Ridden by Dylan Hogan. Trained by Julia & Shelley Birkett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:05 Epsom Downs?

No — the AI top pick (Darkest Red) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 18:05 Epsom Downs?

Top finishers: 1. Zurna (GB) (5.50), 2. Tai Hang Pegasus (USA) (10.00), 3. Society Girl (GB) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:05 Epsom Downs?

The winning time was 2m 49.77s.

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