Who won the 20:52 Epsom Downs on 9 July 2026?
Sail On Sailor (GB) won the 20:52 Epsom Downs at SP 4.00. Ridden by Paddy Bradley. Trained by Simon Dow.
20:52 Epsom Downs
Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Pound Handicap
1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £3,664 · Thursday, 9 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stSail On Sailor (GB)Paddy Bradley·Simon Dow3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndTakeitorleaveit (IRE)Donagh Murphy·Jonathan Portman·beaten 0.3 lengths7/4F·2.75SP
- 3rdDon Pablo Colina (GB)Neil Callan·George Baker·beaten 1.5 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
2m 14.34s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Sail On Sailor (GB))
“Held up towards the back of the field - advanced smoothly 3f out - asked for extra over 2f out and again over 1f out - edged left inside the final furlong - swept to the front close home to score”
AI top-rated Living In Hope (score 47.7) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way47.7/100 rating
Living In Hope
13.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Takeitorleaveit
Takeitorleaveit is clear on our figures for this Class 6 over Epsom's 10f, placed in three of his last five starts including a win and back-to-back seconds, and he steps out with first-time cheekpieces to boot. Sail On Sailor arrives on a two-timer of his own and can't be dismissed, while Sweep In Time and Don Pablo Colina both look capable of running into the frame from further back in the field. Our confidence in Takeitorleaveit is medium, but he holds a clear edge over this field on the figures and is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Living In Hope
Callum Hutchinson · Harry Eustace · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 47.7 · +1.5 clear of next best (46.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong34d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight55small sample (n=9)Harry Eustace: 2/9 winners last 14d (22%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight33weakLast 6: 0-5-4
MarketBest price 13.00 (Bet365) · 4th in the market of 7.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Epsom Downs 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.99
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.87
High (6–7)
IV 1.14
Today: Takeitorleaveit (draw 6) and Minerality (draw 7) get the bias; Living In Hope (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Simon Dow · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 72311 | 63 | 46.2 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 6 3yo · G · bp | 41722 | 58 | 42.6 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Neil Callan · T: George Baker · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 568 | 62 | 32.5 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Tom Clover · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 595 | 59 | 45.1 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Tyler Heard · T: Jim Boyle · draw 1 3yo · G · b/br | 048 | 45 | 38.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Harry Eustace · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 054 | 65 | 47.7 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Jack Doughty · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 896 | 62 | 35.4 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:52 Epsom Downs?
No — the AI top pick (Living In Hope) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 20:52 Epsom Downs?
Top finishers: 1. Sail On Sailor (GB) (4.00), 2. Takeitorleaveit (IRE) (2.75), 3. Don Pablo Colina (GB) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 20:52 Epsom Downs?
The winning time was 2m 14.34s.
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