18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

18:17 Newbury

Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 18 runners · £16,200 · Thursday, 9 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Mirzimaan (IRE)
    Pat Cosgrave·George Boughey
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Minster Boy (IRE)
    Charles Bishop·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten 1.25 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Beresford Gap (IRE)
    David Probert·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.1 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.86s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Mirzimaan (IRE))

Short of room at the start - settled towards the back - moved left and made up ground 1f out - hit the front inside the final furlong and finished strongly

AI top-rated My Boo Boo (score 40.6) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way40.6/100 rating
My Boo Boo
8.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

My Boo Boo

Jason Watson · Brian Toomey · 2yo

Top-rated of 19
score 40.6 · +12.1 clear of next best (28.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    38d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Brian Toomey: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 8.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 2nd in the market of 19.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newbury 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–7)
IV 1.00
Mid (8–13)
IV 0.93
High (14–19)
IV 1.07

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: George Boughey · draw 7
2yo · C · b
0
19.0
20/1·21.00
SP
216
2yo · C · ch
4
25.0
2/1F·3.00
SP
33
J: David Probert · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8
2yo · C · b
6
20.5
11/1·12.00
SP
45
J: Rob Hornby · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 6
2yo · C · b
15.0
28/1·29.00
SP
51
J: Ryan Kavanagh · T: David Evans · draw 18
2yo · C · b
20.0
33/1·34.00
SP
617
J: Taylor Fisher · T: J. R. Jenkins · draw 9
2yo · C · ch
15.0
150/1·151.00
SP
78
J: Luke Morris · T: Archie Watson · draw 10
2yo · G · ch
3
23.5
25/1·26.00
SP
818
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 17
2yo · C · b
28.5
50/1·51.00
SP
910
J: Jason Watson · T: Brian Toomey · draw 19
2yo · C · b
2
40.6
3/1·4.00
SP
1014
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Jack Jones · draw 4
2yo · C · ch
15.0
33/1·34.00
SP
1119
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Alan King · draw 16
2yo · C · b
25.0
16/1·17.00
SP
1213
J: Ross Coakley · T: Stuart Williams · draw 5
2yo · C · b
5
16.0
40/1·41.00
SP
1311
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Richard Hannon · draw 2
2yo · C · b
19.0
12/1·13.00
SP
144
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 13
2yo · C · b
3
21.0
7/2·4.50
SP
157
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 14
2yo · C · ch
8
13.5
33/1·34.00
SP
162
2yo · G · b
21.0
33/1·34.00
SP
1715
J: Gina Mangan · T: Clare Hobson · draw 12
2yo · G · b
15.0
100/1·101.00
SP
1812
J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 15
2yo · G · b
88
12.5
150/1·151.00
SP
J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 1
2yo · C · ch
6
15.0

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:17 Newbury on 9 July 2026?

Mirzimaan (IRE) won the 18:17 Newbury at SP 21.00. Ridden by Pat Cosgrave. Trained by George Boughey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:17 Newbury?

No — the AI top pick (My Boo Boo) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 18:17 Newbury?

Top finishers: 1. Mirzimaan (IRE) (21.00), 2. Minster Boy (IRE) (3.00), 3. Beresford Gap (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:17 Newbury?

The winning time was 1m 11.86s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org