18:52 Newbury

Highclere Castle Gin Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 12 runners · £5,757 · Thursday, 9 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/1F·5.00

1st
Strike (GB)AI top pick · 47.2
Olivia Tubb·Jonathan Portman
4/1F·5.00
SP
2nd
Jimmy Knocker (IRE)
Kyle McHugh·Andi Brown·beaten 0.1 lengths
13/2·7.50
SP
3rd
The Feminine Urge (IRE)
Seamus Cronin·Grace Harris·beaten 1.25 lengths
10/1·11.00
SP

Race time

1m 11.55s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Strike (GB))

“Settled close to the pace - asked to quicken 2f out - hit the front 1f out - strongly challenged deep inside the final furlong but prevailed”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way47.2/100 rating

Strike

7.50Bet365

Place portion settles at 2.30 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Rebel Path

Twelve go to post for this six-furlong Class 5 at Newbury, and the form book is fairly spread out on our figures. Rebel Path sits on top and is our selection with real confidence, with The Coffee Pod, Strike and Arabian Cobra rated the biggest dangers close behind. Campenaerts, Black Endeavour, Wyle Cop and Thunderous Love make up a solid second tier, while Jimmy Knocker, The Feminine Urge, Roman Spring and Nzuri all have more to find on these figures. Rebel Path remains our selection, with confidence high in a race where the picture looks unusually clean.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Strike

Olivia Tubb(5) · Jonathan Portman · 8yo

Top-rated of 12

score 47.2 · +2.6 clear of next best (44.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
34d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
54average
Last 6: 2-8-3-2-4
Ratings50% weight
45below average
OR 67
Trainer20% weight
28weak
Jonathan Portman: 2/18 winners last 14d (11%)

MarketBest price 7.50 (Bet365) · 4th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newbury 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.00

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.93

High (10–13)

IV 1.07

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Strike J: Olivia Tubb(5) · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 1 8yo · G · gr	28324	9-13	67	—	—	47.2	4/1F·5.00 SP
2	5	Jimmy Knocker J: Kyle McHugh(7) · T: Andi Brown · draw 8 5yo · G · bt	21775	9-12	66	—	—	36.1	13/2·7.50 SP
3	11	The Feminine Urge J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 2 4yo · F · gr	357607	9-03	57	—	—	32.2	10/1·11.00 SP
4	12	Nzuri J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Jack Channon · draw 4 3yo · F · b	08207	8-13	59	—	—	44.5	80/1·81.00 SP
5	8	Wyle Cop J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Jack Jones · draw 5 3yo · G · b/brb	130093	9-10	70	—	—	44.6	14/1·15.00 SP
6	10	Black Endeavour J: Rossa Ryan · T: Mark Rimell · draw 12 3yo · G · bt	36531	9-09	69	—	—	42.4	9/2·5.50 SP
7	4	The Coffee Pod J: Joe Leavy · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 3 5yo · G · bh	63688	9-12	66	—	—	32.4	11/2·6.50 SP
8	7	Campenaerts J: Charles Bishop · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 7 3yo · G · b	21697	9-10	70	—	—	42.2	22/1·23.00 SP
9	6	Thunderous Love J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 13 5yo · M · bp	57696	9-11	65	—	—	35.9	15/2·8.50 SP
10	2	Rebel Path J: Olivia Haines(7) · T: Stuart Williams · draw 11 7yo · G · b	57738	9-13	67	—	—	37.6	9/2·5.50 SP
11	1	Arabian Cobra J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 6 4yo · G · grp	60085	10-01	69	—	—	43.3	40/1·41.00 SP
12	13	Roman Spring J: Jason Watson · T: Rachel Cook & John Bridger · draw 10 6yo · G · brtp	36073	8-12	52	—	—	33.5	16/1·17.00 SP
—	—	Phoenix Moon J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Denis Coakley · draw 9 5yo · M · gr	14238	9-09	63	—	—	39.0	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:52 Newbury on 9 July 2026?

Strike (GB) won the 18:52 Newbury at SP 5.00. Ridden by Olivia Tubb. Trained by Jonathan Portman.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:52 Newbury?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Strike, won the race (AI score 47.2).

What were the placings in the 18:52 Newbury?

Top finishers: 1. Strike (GB) (5.00), 2. Jimmy Knocker (IRE) (7.50), 3. The Feminine Urge (IRE) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:52 Newbury?

The winning time was 1m 11.55s.

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