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RacingAlpha

16:45 Newmarket

Edmondson Hall Solicitors Sir Henry Cecil Stakes (Listed)

1m · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £34,026 · Thursday, 9 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Shayem (IRE)
    Clifford Lee·K. R. Burke
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Colori Forever (GB)
    Marco Ghiani·Marco Botti·beaten 2.75 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Conclave (IRE)
    James Doyle·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.3 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
Race time
1m 39.70s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Shayem (IRE))

“Close up early - went clear of that bunch with 1f left - pursued the pace-setter into the final furlong - hit the front inside the final 110yds and stayed on strongly”

AI top-rated Wild Desert (score 74.8) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way74.8/100 rating
Wild Desert
5.10Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Morris Dancer

This seven-runner Class 1 over the Newmarket (July) round mile features a clear leader on our figures in Morris Dancer, rated 115 and three points clear of Shayem in second. Oxagon and Colori Forever both sit within a handful of pounds of the principals, giving this race strength in depth at the top, while Conclave and Wild Desert make up the frame further back and Lyneham remains unrated on our figures. Given how clear that lead looks, Morris Dancer is our selection with high confidence, with Shayem, Oxagon and Colori Forever the three most obvious dangers to note.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Wild Desert

Ryan Moore · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 74.8 · +6.8 clear of next best (68.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 6/15 winners last 14d (40%)
  • Form20% weight
    75strong
    Last 6: 1-2-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    71strong
    OR 106
  • Freshness10% weight
    45below average
    299d since last run (long absence)
MarketBest price 5.10 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.06
High (6–7)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
Shayem
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 1
3yo · C · b
10542
10666.0
11/2·6.50
SP
22
Colori Forever
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 3
3yo · C · b
21210
10360.5
13/2·7.50
SP
33
Conclave
J: James Doyle · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2
3yo · G · br
1216
9966.2
13/2·7.50
SP
44
Lyneham
J: Tom Marquand · T: C Ferland · draw 4
3yo · C · b
1175
9855.5
28/1·29.00
SP
51
Oxagon
J: Oisin Murphy · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 7
3yo · C · bbFT B
51600
10959.7
6/1·7.00
SP
67
Wild Desert
J: Ryan Moore · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 6
2yo · C · b
1232
10674.8
9/2·5.50
SP
75
Morris Dancer
J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5
3yo · C · b
71213
11068.0
9/4F·3.25
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Newmarket on 9 July 2026?

Shayem (IRE) won the 16:45 Newmarket at SP 6.50. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (Wild Desert) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:45 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Shayem (IRE) (6.50), 2. Colori Forever (GB) (7.50), 3. Conclave (IRE) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 39.70s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org