Who won the 16:10 Newmarket on 9 July 2026?
Scommessa Sicura (IRE) won the 16:10 Newmarket at SP 3.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Andrew Balding.
16:10 Newmarket
British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £20,616 · Thursday, 9 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 2/1·3.00Race report
- 1stScommessa Sicura (IRE)AI top pick · 63.6Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding2/1·3.00SP
- 2ndTall Trees (GB)Tom Marquand·Brian Meehan·beaten 1 length16/1·17.00SP
- 3rdMadam Secretary (IRE)Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien·beaten 1 length9/2·5.50SP
Race time
1m 25.66s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Scommessa Sicura (IRE))
“Went clear of that trio early - took outright command before halfway - asked for effort from 2f out - drifted left under pressure in the final furlong but kept finding more”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way63.6/100 rating
Scommessa Sicura
7.80Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Scommessa Sicura
Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 63.6 · +28.0 clear of next best (35.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight78strongLast 6: 2-2-2
- Ratings50% weight58averageOR 87 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight45below averageAndrew Balding: 12/65 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 7.80 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.05
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 222 | 87 | 63.6 | 2/1·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Brian Meehan · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 58 | — | 13.3 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 3 | — | 30.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 3 2yo · F · b | — | — | 25.0 | 11/10F·2.10 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · draw 1 2yo · F · gr | 2 | — | 35.6 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 8 2yo · F · b | — | — | 20.0 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 7 | — | 17.0 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos · draw 10 2yo · F · b | 40 | — | 13.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: James Doyle · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 5 2yo · F · b | — | — | 23.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Jack Callan · T: George Boughey · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 4 | — | 24.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Newmarket?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Scommessa Sicura, won the race (AI score 63.6).
What were the placings in the 16:10 Newmarket?
Top finishers: 1. Scommessa Sicura (IRE) (3.00), 2. Tall Trees (GB) (17.00), 3. Madam Secretary (IRE) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:10 Newmarket?
The winning time was 1m 25.66s.
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