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RacingAlpha

17:20 Newmarket

Debenhams Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 13 runners · £15,462 · Thursday, 9 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Asmen Warrior (IRE)
    Marco Ghiani·James Owen
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tawajjah (IRE)
    Jonny Peate·Roger Varian·beaten 1.5 lengths
    25/1·26.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sterling Knight (GB)
    Jamie Spencer·Ed Dunlop·beaten 3.75 lengths
    33/1·34.00
    SP
Race time
1m 38.51s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Asmen Warrior (IRE))

Settled towards the back early - made steady progress through the middle from over 2f out - went to the front with 1f left - quickened clear for a comfortable success

AI top-rated Spanish Voice (score 61.4) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way61.4/100 rating
Spanish Voice
6.00William Hill
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Ancient Rome

This 15-runner Class 3 mile is topped on raw figures by Daysofourlives on 106, with Ancient Rome close behind on 103 and a cluster of Hickory, Parole d'Oro and Spanish Voice all rated 100. Despite Daysofourlives sitting highest on our figures, we prefer Ancient Rome for a more progressive recent profile and a fitness edge over most of this field, even though the form book makes this a competitive, hard-to-call heat. Daysofourlives, Hickory and Parole d'Oro all represent the most obvious dangers to that selection in such a deep race. Ancient Rome is our selection, but only with low confidence given the depth of this field.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Spanish Voice

Ryan Moore · Andrew Balding · 4yo

Top-rated of 15
score 61.4 · +1.8 clear of next best (59.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    63average
    OR 94
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 1-8-7-1-0-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Andrew Balding: 12/65 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 6.00 (William Hill) · 2nd in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.91
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.06
High (11–15)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Marco Ghiani · T: James Owen · draw 11
4yo · G · chv
22320
9157.0
9/2·5.50
SP
212
J: Jonny Peate · T: Roger Varian · draw 2
3yo · C · ch
7221
8045.3
25/1·26.00
SP
36
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 10
7yo · G · b
073100
9154.6
33/1·34.00
SP
44
J: James Doyle · T: Michael Bell · draw 1
4yo · G · bt
05282
9356.6
17/2·9.50
SP
52
J: Ryan Moore · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7
4yo · C · bt
187101
9461.4
4/1·5.00
SP
63
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 8
8yo · G · bp
12060
9445.8
25/1·26.00
SP
710
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 9
3yo · C · b
55174
9254.7
4/1·5.00
SP
81
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Marco Botti · draw 12
4yo · G · bp
24109
9748.5
40/1·41.00
SP
95
J: Clifford Lee · T: Charles Hills · draw 3
7yo · G · b/br
00007
9345.0
25/1·26.00
SP
1011
J: Ray Dawson · T: John Butler · draw 14
4yo · G · b
316236
8051.2
25/1·26.00
SP
1115
J: George Wood · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 15
3yo · C · b
93321
8452.9
9/1·10.00
SP
129
J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin · draw 4
4yo · G · bp
27411
8653.9
33/1·34.00
SP
1313
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 13
3yo · C · ch
131
8859.7
3/1F·4.00
SP
8yo · G · b
00704
7645.9
J: William Buick · T: Ian Williams · draw 6
4yo · G · b
120106
8846.7

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:20 Newmarket on 9 July 2026?

Asmen Warrior (IRE) won the 17:20 Newmarket at SP 5.50. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by James Owen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:20 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (Spanish Voice) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 17:20 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Asmen Warrior (IRE) (5.50), 2. Tawajjah (IRE) (26.00), 3. Sterling Knight (GB) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:20 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 38.51s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org