Who won the 16:45 Newmarket on 10 July 2026?
Twilight Calls (GB) won the 16:45 Newmarket at SP 9.00. Ridden by Saffie Osborne. Trained by Richard Spencer.
16:45 Newmarket
Debenhams Handicap
5f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 12 runners · £15,462 · Friday, 10 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 8/1·9.00Race report
- 1stTwilight Calls (GB)AI top pick · 63.0Saffie Osborne·Richard Spencer8/1·9.00SP
- 2ndRapper's Delight (GB)George Wood·Richard Spencer·beaten 0.2 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdEmperor Spirit (IRE)Marco Ghiani·Michael Keady·beaten 0 lengths9/2F·5.50SP
Race time
58.21s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Twilight Calls (GB))
“settled at the back - pressed for a response with a furlong left - flew home to get up in the final yards”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way63.0/100 rating
Twilight Calls
8.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.50 · 1/5 odds · 4 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Twilight Calls
Twilight Calls heads this line-up on a rating of 100, the form pick after backing up an earlier win with a solid second last time out. Never Just A Dream, Rosario and Rapper's Delight all cluster within a handful of pounds and represent the biggest threats, with Rosario's clock form in particular standing out. Medium confidence reflects how compact this field is on our figures, but Twilight Calls remains the narrow pick to defy that competition.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Twilight Calls
Saffie Osborne · Richard Spencer · 8yo
Top-rated of 12
score 63.0 · +1.3 clear of next best (61.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight65strongRichard Spencer: 5/19 winners last 14d (26%)
- Ratings50% weight58averageOR 87
- Form20% weight55averageLast 6: 6-5-8-6-1-2
MarketBest price 8.50 (Bet365) · 3rd in the market of 12.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket 5f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.95
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.80
High (9–12)
IV 1.24
Today: Our Cody (draw 11) and Rapper's Delight (draw 9) get the bias; Twilight Calls (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 7 8yo · G · bv | 658612 | 87 | 63.0 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · draw 9 4yo · G · bv | 52992 | 87 | 50.2 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Michael Keady · draw 8 8yo · G · btb | 30202 | 83 | 43.8 | 9/2F·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: William Buick · T: Roger Teal · draw 4 5yo · G · ch | 03685 | 88 | 50.8 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 6yo · G · b | 0032 | 90 | 53.3 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Mike Murphy · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 341805 | 85 | 61.7 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Tom Clover · draw 12 6yo · G · gr | 04645 | 85 | 44.7 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Robert Cowell · draw 3 6yo · G · bp | 454303 | 81 | 50.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Tom Marquand · T: T J Kent · draw 1 6yo · G · ch | 0404 | 85 | 42.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 10 | 12 | J: Connor Planas · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 10 3yo · C · b | 363915 | 78 | 43.9 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 11 | 10 | J: Kyle McHugh(7) · T: Archie Watson · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 18980 | 87 | 42.9 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 12 | 8 | J: Ryan Moore · T: Richard Hughes · draw 11 3yo · F · b | 52934 | 88 | 51.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Newmarket?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Twilight Calls, won the race (AI score 63.0).
What were the placings in the 16:45 Newmarket?
Top finishers: 1. Twilight Calls (GB) (9.00), 2. Rapper's Delight (GB) (6.50), 3. Emperor Spirit (IRE) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:45 Newmarket?
The winning time was 58.21s.
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