17:20 Newmarket

Jockey Club Estates Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £12,885 · Friday, 10 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Sierra Sands (IRE)
Ryan Moore·Ed Dunlop
8/1·9.00
SP
2nd
Lion of Mali (GB)AI top pick · 63.0
David Egan·James Fanshawe·beaten 0.3 lengths
13/2·7.50
SP
3rd
Flight Control (IRE)
William Pyle·Kevin & Lauren Frost·beaten 0.3 lengths
10/1·11.00
SP

Race time

1m 26.20s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Sierra Sands (IRE))

“settled at the back - driven two furlongs out and made ground with a furlong to run - finished full of running - swept to the front in the final strides”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way63.0/100 rating

Lion of Mali

6.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Three Non Blondes

Three Non Blondes is a confident selection on a rating of 88, backed by two wins from her last five starts and a solid placed effort last time out. Flight Control, Aqua Bear and Toastmaster all cluster closely behind on our figures and cannot be ruled out, with Toastmaster's big form gap to his official mark the one to note. High confidence reflects the clear standing of the selection at the head of these ratings, and Three Non Blondes is the one to side with.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lion of Mali

David Egan · James Fanshawe · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 63.0 · +4.9 clear of next best (58.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
28d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
80very strong
Last 6: 1-1-2-1-5-1
Trainer20% weight
65strong
James Fanshawe: 5/19 winners last 14d (26%)
Ratings50% weight
48below average
OR 72

MarketBest price 6.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.91

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.06

High (9–11)

IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Sierra Sands J: Ryan Moore · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 2 3yo · C · ch	14031	9-11	82	—	—	52.7	8/1·9.00 SP
2	9	Lion of Mali J: David Egan · T: James Fanshawe · draw 1 3yo · G · b	112151	9-01	72	—	—	63.0	13/2·7.50 SP
3	4	Flight Control J: William Pyle · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 5 3yo · G · br	1352	9-09	80	—	—	49.1	10/1·11.00 SP
4	6	Calling A Star J: William Buick · T: Richard Hughes · draw 3 3yo · F · ch	92171	9-07	78	—	—	52.1	20/1·21.00 SP
5	7	Toastmaster J: Oisin Murphy · T: Michael Herrington · draw 4 3yo · G · b	235331	9-04	75	—	—	57.1	6/4F·2.50 SP
6	11	Ice Cube J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 9 3yo · G · grh	73565	8-04	59	—	—	52.2	40/1·41.00 SP
7	1	Three Non Blondes J: Marco Ghiani · T: Hayley Burton · draw 10 3yo · F · b	12153	9-11	82	—	—	50.4	11/1·12.00 SP
8	3	Angel Gabriel J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 6 3yo · G · b	2214	9-10	81	—	—	57.8	22/1·23.00 SP
9	10	Daretobedifferent J: Gina Mangan · T: D Donovan · draw 11 3yo · F · b	933136	8-09	66	—	—	52.7	50/1·51.00 SP
10	8	Kimbara J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · draw 7 3yo · C · b	44623	9-02	73	—	—	58.1	11/1·12.00 SP
11	5	Aqua Bear J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ian Williams · draw 8 3yo · G · b	21403	9-09	80	—	—	55.2	5/1·6.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:20 Newmarket on 10 July 2026?

Sierra Sands (IRE) won the 17:20 Newmarket at SP 9.00. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by Ed Dunlop.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:20 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (Lion of Mali) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 17:20 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Sierra Sands (IRE) (9.00), 2. Lion of Mali (GB) (7.50), 3. Flight Control (IRE) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:20 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 26.20s.

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