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RacingAlpha

14:15 Newmarket

HKJC Worldpool Fillies' Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £25,770 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Planet Seeker (GB)
    Jamie Spencer·Ralph Beckett
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Machadadorp (GB)AI top pick · 66.0
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 3.5 lengths
    10/3F·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    True Test (GB)
    William Buick·William Knight·beaten 2.5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 23.77s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Planet Seeker (GB))

“settled towards the back - angled right and made ground 1f out before being driven to the front - stayed on strongly in the final furlong - comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way66.0/100 rating
Machadadorp
4.70Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: True Test

True Test is our selection, sitting on top of our figures ahead of this field of nine. Havana Pusey, Planet Seeker and Just A Girl, occupying the next three rungs, represent the clearest dangers, each closely matched to the head of the race. Confidence is medium given how tightly this nine rates.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Machadadorp

Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 66.0 · +3.0 clear of next best (63.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    87very strong
    Last 6: 6-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 86
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Andrew Balding: 11/55 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketBest price 4.70 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.06
High (7–9)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
Planet Seeker
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 1
3yo · F · b
134
8557.7
12/1·13.00
SP
25
Machadadorp
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
3yo · F · b
611
8666.0
10/3F·4.33
SP
34
True Test
J: William Buick · T: William Knight · draw 7
3yo · F · gr
04206
9053.6
9/2·5.50
SP
46
Ruby's Angel
J: Clifford Lee · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 8
3yo · F · b
42104
8654.9
16/1·17.00
SP
52
Song N Dance
J: Tom Marquand · T: S Woods · draw 6
4yo · F · b
21122
8556.9
4/1·5.00
SP
69
Tarot
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Roger Varian · draw 9
3yo · F · chh
22317
8458.4
17/2·9.50
SP
71
Havana Pusey
J: Neil Callan · T: John Gallagher · draw 3
6yo · M · b
00137
9655.7
15/2·8.50
SP
83
Just A Girl
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5
3yo · F · b
34222
9363.0
16/1·17.00
SP
97
Shallow
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 2
5yo · M · chp
692332
7861.1
7/1·8.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:15 Newmarket on 11 July 2026?

Planet Seeker (GB) won the 14:15 Newmarket at SP 13.00. Ridden by Jamie Spencer. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:15 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (Machadadorp) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:15 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Planet Seeker (GB) (13.00), 2. Machadadorp (GB) (4.33), 3. True Test (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:15 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 23.77s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org