Who won the 17:45 Newmarket on 11 July 2026?
Parisian Scholar (GB) won the 17:45 Newmarket at SP 6.50. Ridden by Rowan Scott. Trained by Charlie Johnston.
17:45 Newmarket
HKJC World Pool Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £15,462 · Saturday, 11 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stParisian Scholar (GB)Rowan Scott·Charlie Johnston11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndFirst Officer (IRE)Sorin Moldoveanu·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten .5 lengths5/1·6.00SP
- 3rdCape Fear (GB)AI top pick · 62.6Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 18 lengths5/6F·1.83SP
Race time
2m 32.65s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Parisian Scholar (GB))
“settled fourth early - improved into contention 4f out - moved to the front 2f out - shook off pursuit 1f out - drew away readily in the final furlong”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: First Officer
First Officer is preferred to the top-rated Melek Alreeh on a fitness edge, and that is our selection here. Melek Alreeh, Wonder and Bintabuha are all closely matched on our figures and look the chief dangers in a competitive six-runner race. Confidence in the selection is low, but First Officer's claims on that fitness edge alone are enough to give him the verdict.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Cape Fear
Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 62.6 · +0.3 clear of next best (62.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong23d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight81very strongLast 6: 3-2-3-2-1
- Trainer20% weight53averageAndrew Balding: 12/57 winners last 14d (21%)
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
MarketBest price 2.75 (Bet365) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.30).
Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.30
High (5–6)
IV 0.82
Today: Wonder (draw 3) and Parisian Scholar (draw 4) get the bias; Cape Fear (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 59 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 237041 | 77 | 48.8 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Sorin Moldoveanu(7) · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 1 7yo · G · b | 64352 | 76 | 44.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5 3yo · C · ch | 32321 | 78 | 62.6 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Harry Charlton · draw 2 4yo · F · b | 76455 | 74 | 59.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: David Simcock · draw 6 7yo · G · b | 25621 | 85 | 56.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Arron D'Arcy(7) · T: James Fanshawe · draw 3 5yo · G · chp | 21223 | 82 | 62.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:45 Newmarket?
No — the AI top pick (Cape Fear) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 17:45 Newmarket?
Top finishers: 1. Parisian Scholar (GB) (6.50), 2. First Officer (IRE) (6.00), 3. Cape Fear (GB) (1.83).
What was the winning time for the 17:45 Newmarket?
The winning time was 2m 32.65s.
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