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RacingAlpha

13:40 Newmarket

Rossdales British EBF Maiden Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £10,823 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/4F·2.25
  1. 1st
    Haffner (USA)AI top pick · 35.1
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Al Wathba (FR)
    William Buick·Charlie Appleby·beaten 1.5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Velociraptor (GB)
    James Doyle·Hugo Palmer·beaten 1.5 lengths
    25/1·26.00
    SP
Race time
1m 26.61s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Haffner (USA))

led throughout - roused along 1f out - stayed on strongly to win with something in hand

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Haffner

Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 35.1 · +5.6 clear of next best (29.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    A P O'Brien: 8/43 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 1.91 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.06
High (6–7)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 3
2yo · C · b
2
35.1
5/4F·2.25
SP
21
J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 1
2yo · C · b
29.5
4/1·5.00
SP
36
J: James Doyle · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6
2yo · C · b
21.5
25/1·26.00
SP
45
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7
2yo · C · b
21.0
9/4·3.25
SP
54
J: Tom Marquand · T: Roger Varian · draw 2
2yo · C · b
23.0
18/1·19.00
SP
67
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 5
2yo · C · b
28.0
20/1·21.00
SP
73
J: Clifford Lee · T: Patrick Owens · draw 4
2yo · C · ch
3
20.5
16/1·17.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:40 Newmarket on 11 July 2026?

Haffner (USA) won the 13:40 Newmarket at SP 2.25. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:40 Newmarket?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Haffner, won the race (AI score 35.1).

What were the placings in the 13:40 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Haffner (USA) (2.25), 2. Al Wathba (FR) (5.00), 3. Velociraptor (GB) (26.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:40 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 26.61s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org